As a believer in science and the scientific method, we wanted to see if the rantings and ravings of people like Al Gore had any validity. And if not, finally be able to show them that you can believe in science AND figure out that global warming was a self perpetuating myth by those that had a lot to gain, either financially, personally, or from a recognition perspective.
Well, years later, and dozens of posts later that examined dozens and dozens of science and realities, I am proud to say that I am still a global warming doubter skeptic (or its marketing rebranded name of “climate change”) more than ever and have the scientific evidence to support my view, people like Al Gore be damned. You can review our exhaustive research and discussions on the matter by entering “global warming doubter” in the search box above.
Additionally, you can read our last updates to the series by starting with:
We started this latest review and update yesterday and continue it today, starting below:
1) Consider a new research study that found that climate forecasting models used by global warming advocates, scientists, and government officials have been significant overestimators of global warming impacts that has occurred since the late 1950s when compared to what actually happened to the Earth’s climate. The research findings were published in the journal Environmetrics.
According to the published results, a simple comparison between observed temperatures and the forecasted temperatures from the global warming forecast models differed greatly in the tropical lower troposphere and mid-troposphere: “Over the 55-years from 1958 to 2012, climate models not only significantly over-predict observed warming in the tropical troposphere, but they represent it in a fundamentally different way than is observed.” These are the words and conclusions of Ross McKitrick, an economist with the University of Guelph in Canada and co-author of the study.
Other findings and conclusions from the research include the following:
- While all climate models forecasted that rising carbon dioxide levels in the air would cause rapid warming in the troposphere over the tropics, over time that never happened.
- Both satellites and weather balloons have not detected much warming in the tropical troposphere, which destroys the predictive integrity of the climate models.
- According to McKitrick, not only do the climate forecast models overestimate the amount of warming in the troposphere, the models misrepresent the warming by making it look like a “smooth upward trend” over time.
- But this research paper portends to show that in reality, temperature show that all observations the warming occurred in a “single step-change in the late 1970s coinciding with a known event (the Pacific Climate Shift), and identify no significant trend before or after.”
- In other words, tropical tropospheric temperatures were relatively flat/not trending warmer before the late 1970s, they abruptly jumped up slightly in 1977 due to the so-called Pacific Climate Shift, and after the climate shift, temperatures flattened out once again, showing little to no warming trend.
2) For a little comedic diversion, consider the poor chap in this video. I do not believe he agrees that global warming is a big factor, at least on this winter day:
3) A new report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), a U.S. government agency, found that the first six-month period of 2014 marked the coldest first half of any year since 1993. Others realities from the NOAA included the following facts:
- Average maximum daytime temperatures for the first six months of 2014 was slightly higher than the 20th century average.
- However, the average minimum nighttime temperature was three-tenths of a degree below the century average.
- Below-average temperatures were widespread east of the Rocky Mountains, and "two regions, the western Great Lakes and the southern Mississippi River Valley, had much-below-average temperatures during the six-month period."
- Seven states, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, and Wisconsin, each had a six-month period that ranked in the state's top 10 for coldest temperatures.
- The NOAA also found that the national precipitation total for the six-month period was a tiny 0.02 inches below average, while above-average precipitation was recorded across the Northern tier and parts of the Southeast.
4) Consider some scientific findings from a recent CATO Institute paper regarding climate change, global warming, and what is really going on:
- Global warming and climate change advocates claim that the Earth’s weather will get more violent and destructive as mankind continues to dump carbon into the atmosphere.
- However, every day we set a new record for the longest time between major (Category 3 or greater) hurricane landfalls anywhere in the U.S. (almost 3,200 days, approaching nine years).
- According to CATO, a new scientific paper developed by a team led by Leon Hermanson recently appeared in the journal, Geophysical Research Letters.
- The paper talks about their a decadal (decade related) forecasting model developed by the U.K. Met Office and called the Decadal Prediction System (DePreSys).
- The researchers identified the “North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre” (SPG) as a key influencer in a variety of weather patterns from North America to Europe.
- Changes in the SPG have been correlated with weather, precipitation, and temperature patterns across the in the U.S., Europe, and North Africa, as well as hurricane frequency in the Atlantic Ocean.
- These findings are consistent with the conclusions from research back in 2001 that was published in Science magazine.
- This team, consisting of leading hurricane experts of the time, went against the global warming hysteria that global warming, not long established weather patterns like the SPG, were the reason for increased hurricane activity during that timeframe.
- They found that patterns of hurricane frequency were driven by naturally occurring variability in the patterns of sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic that correlated to the SPG.
- They also established that these patterns and cycles usually last a decade or so and have been occurring naturally forever.
- Thus, by just looking at a short time period of increased hurricane activity and claiming global warming was the cause, global warming advocates were not looking at long enough timeframes to see that short term behavior was not driven by global warming but by a different point in the long term cycle.
The following graph shows how this theory has accurately played out over a long period of time, indicating that these forecasters and scientists are much more accurate in their forecasting ability than global warming forecasts. This indicates that their theories and positions on weather and climate are also much more accurate than those of the global warming faction. Their forecast models of global warming and climate change have been extensively shown to be just plain wrong and inaccurate:
This Cato graph shows the 5-year running average of tropical cyclone numbers in the Atlantic Ocean since 1960 along with the DePreSys model hindcasts and forecasts. The model projects that the elevated hurricane numbers characteristic of the past two decades will fall back towards normal over the next few years.
More science that proves it is perfectly logical and sound to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science. It is time that the nation and the world have an adult conversation about global warming and climate change, based on ALL of the science. However, given who is in charge of the global warming side of the argument, politicians, not scientists, like Al Gore and Barack Obama, the chance of an adult conversation about his subject is not likely to happen anytime soon.
More science that proves it is perfectly logical and sound to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science. It is time that the nation and the world have an adult conversation about global warming and climate change, based on ALL of the science. However, given who is in charge of the global warming side of the argument, politicians, not scientists, like Al Gore and Barack Obama, the chance of an adult conversation about his subject is not likely to happen anytime soon.
Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:
www.loathemygovernment.com
It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.
Please visit the following sites for freedom:
Term Limits Now: http://www.howmuchworsecoulditget.com
http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.robertringer.com/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w
No comments:
Post a Comment