June, 2015, Part 4, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: The Outright Scare Tactics and Deceptions Of The Political Class

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of manmade global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:

• Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
• Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
• Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control on our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.

To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly post lists on the right side of this page.

Today will conclude this month’s update on this series on global warming and science. Our focus today will be to separate factual reality from political hype. The most recent political hype came from the President who claimed that failure to address the potential problems he sees in man made global warming and climate change will result in more severe weather in the years to come.

But is that true or is it just another political lie/deception,self serving statement? Lord knows that this President is not above making these types of baseless assertions and promises:

• If you like your current doctor you can keep your current doctor under Obama Care. Not.
• If you like your current insurance policy you can keep your current insurance policy under Obama Care. Not. 
• American families will see up to a $2,500 reduction in their annual health insurance premiums under Obama Care. Not.
• This administration will reduce the annual budget deficit by half within four years. Not.
• This administration will be every pending piece of legislation up on the Internet for everyone to comment on it before it is signed. Not.
• This will be the most transparent administration ever. Not.

Let’s stop here but you get the idea. Lie to me enough and soon I will assume that everything you say is a say or baseless. 

And in the manmade global warming/climate change arena it appears that this tendency of this President is also present. Yesterday, we discussed the reality that a major hurricane has not hit the U.S.mainland for the past ten years. Given that global warming advocates have been advocating for decades that global warming was going to result in horrific weather impacts, what happened hurricane wise for the past decade? Was the President not aware that this was a reality when he recently promised that weather was going to get worse because of manmade climate change?

But are hurricanes just outliers in his more severe weather forecast and other weather occurrences are getting worse? Well, let’s check out data and reality and see:

Wild Fires

Research by James Taylor, writing for Forbes magazine, found that “2013 was one of the quietest wildfire years in U.S. history.” If global warming/climate change was such a bad thing from a weather perspective, one could expect to see a growing trend of wildfires as severe weather, droughts, etc. resulting in more wildfires.

But according to a government agency, the National Interagency Fire Center, an entity that tracks the number of forest fires every year and has been doing so since 1960, well before global warming theory took hold: 

• The year 2013 had the fewest forest fires since data tracking began.
• From 1962 through 1982, there were at least 100,000 forest fires tracked every one of those years. But since 1982 there has not been a single year where forest fires totalled above 100,000.
• Fifty years prior, in 1964, forest fires totalled three times as many vs. 2014 and burned up twice as many acres.
• Twenty years ago, in 1994, there were 79,000 forest fires vs. 63,000 in 2014.

But this is not the only source of real data that shows forest fires, and the severe weather that might affect them, is down on a historical basis despite global warming/climate change:

• According to the Weather Underground, the two largest forest fires in American history occurred in the late 19th and early 290th centuries.
• The first of these forest fires occurred in Wisconsin 1871 and burned 3.8 million acres and killed 1,500 people.
• The second worse forest fire hit Idaho and Montana in 1910 and destroyed 3 million acres and killed 87 people.
• The 47,579 forest fires in 2013 destroyed only 4.3 million acres, an average of 90.79 acres per fire.

Furthermore, research in 2009 analysis by R.M. Beaty and A.H. Taylor researched charcoal records in northern California to study wildfires over thousands of years. They concluded that “current fire episode frequency is at one of its lowest points in at least the last 14,000 years.” And certainly manmade global warming and climate change was not a topic of concern or a reality 14,000 years ago.

Droughts

So, hurricane severity is down significantly, forest fires are down significantly despite the dire claims of this President and the global warming advocates. What about droughts, can the President go 0 for 3 when trying to scare us about weather conditions worsening as a result of global warming/climate change?

Roger Pielke Jr. is an environmental studies professor at the University of Colorado Boulder in Colorado. On may 22, 2015 he a graph on his blog that showed a slight DECREASE in global droughts since 1982, a time period of extensive worries about global warming and weather. His data is based on a 2013 publication in the magazine Nature which tracked “historical drought severity data.”

Fraction of the Globe in Drought: 1982-2012



The graph above shows the proportion of the planet in drought, by intensity, 1982-2012. The graph comes from a paper in a new Nature publication called Scientific Data and is open access. 

But what about the devastating drought currently underway in California you say? This past January, the San Jose Mercury News reported that “studies of tree rings, sediment and other natural evidence” have shown historiically “severe megadroughts [that] make the Dust Bowl of the 1930s look tame.” In fact, Scott Stine, an environmental studies professor at California State University, East Bay, studied tree ring data and found that while 2013 was a very dry year, this past century “has been among the wettest of the last 7,000 years.”

Additionally, researchers led by J.A. Kleppe found concluded in 2011 that “dry conditions have occurred regularly, in cyclical fashion, ‘every 650-1150 years,” suggesting “there is nothing unusual, unnatural, or unprecedented about the nature of [Californian] drought.”

You can find direct links to the above statistics and sources at the following website:

http://newsbusters.org/blogs/sean-long/2014/06/05/networks-blame-wildfires-droughts-climate-change-despite-fact-they-ve-dec?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=Marketing&utm_term=Facebook&utm_content=Facebook&utm_campaign=ClimateChange-Wildfire

So, today we learned that the President continues to make stuff up to fulfill his political intentions and views as it pertains to severe weather growing in intensity because of climate change (it isn’t) as hurricanes, droughts, and forest fires are still within historic measures, if not less frequent. When politicians make up realities, when scientists adjust or even discuss adjusting raw data to fit preconceived theories,and when the government itself manipulates historical data for political ends, it helps destroy any credibility manmade global warming/climate control advocates have. Which makes our position, “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science” even stronger, regardless of what Al Gore screams.

That will do it for this month and this topic. But I am pretty sure we will be back next month with more data manipulations, more deceptions, and more science and realities that dispel the global warming myth.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:

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http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org
http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w

March, 2015, Part 1 I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Ice Ages That Never Come and Ineptness at The EPA

For the past few years we have run a semi-regular series under the theme, “I am a global warming doubter and a believer in science.” The underlying drivers of this theme were twofold. First, I had gotten tired of people like Al Gore ranting at the top of their lungs that if someone did not believe what they believed then you were an idiotic, a denier, a racists, a homophobe, and a non-believer in science. Second, I wanted to take a look at ALL of the global warming science out in the world, suspecting that Gore et al were using only science and research that supported their apparently skewed view of the world.

What have found over the years in dozens of posts and dozens of scientific research, studies, facts, and realities is that if anything, there are more evidence to dispute the Al Gore point of view than there is supporting it. To view those past discussions and findings, just enter “global warming doubter” or believer in science” in the search box above. The fact that people like Al Gore had to rebrand the whole “global warming” theme to “man made climate change” tells you that their original thinking is starting to collapse and they needed to jump to another point of view.

We will continue this theme probably today and tomorrow where we prove again that it is possible to be a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.

1) On Sept. 11, 1972, Walter Cronkite, one of the most trusted names in broadcast journalism ever, discussed current scientists’ predictions that a “new ice age is creeping over the Northern Hemisphere.” He cited that the research and prediction of British scientist Hubert Lamb in his reporting.

He called the prediction of a new ice age “a bit of bad news” but followed it up with the following quote and scientific prediction: “But then there is some good news. That while the weather may be just a little colder in the immediate years to come, the full extent of the new ice age won’t be reached for 10,000 years. And if you can stand any more good news, even then it won’t be as bad as the last ice age 60,000 years ago. Then New York, Cincinnati, St. Louis, were under 5,000 feet of ice. Presumably no traffic moved and school was let out for the day. And that’s the way it is, Monday September 11, 1972.”

Obviously, Mr.Lamb and others of his ilk back the 1970s were incorrect in their climate predictions. We have not yet stepped into a new ice age since the earth’s temperatures warmed for a period of time after that broadcast. (But stopped warming about 19 years ago). 

But I would bet that Lamb and other scientists had the same passion and belief in their work that those predicting global warming have today. But they were wrong, they incorrectly predicted climate changes. Given the track record of climate forecasting, who is to say today’s passionate global warming advocates are any better at what they do? Especially when there is so much scientifics evidence that says they are not right, with just their grossly incorrect climate models’ predictions being just one component of how off they have been.

2) For another look at what the climate scientists were predicting back in the 1970s with so much certainty, consider the following YouTube video from back then which also predicted a new ice age, narrated by none other than Leonard Nimoy:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kGB5MMIAVA

Again, those scientists were sure of their predictions of a new ice age, nowhere was global warming anywhere to be found as a possibility.

3) Speaking of global cooling, consider some more recent trends in weather and climate, a taste of which was captured by a recent Washington Post article by Angelas Fritz last month. At that time, she wrote:

• Temperatures were so cold that record lows were being set across the entire country.
• Temperatures 30-40 degrees below normal were expected from Ohio through the Middle Atlantic states.
• The cold temps were not just up north but also throughout the south, with record lows expected from Tennessee to Virginia.
• Washington D.C. had the potential to dip below zero for the first time since 1994, twenty one years ago.
• A related article in the same edition of her article went onto to predict that the D.C. cold surge could break a 119 year record for cold temps.

This will be the second winter in a row where the temperatures were well below normal. None of this weather or climate was ever predicted by Al Gore and his supporters. Thus, one cannot make the argument, as a few have tried, that this record cold is also because of manmade global warming and climate change. 

If you do not call your shot ahead of time, in this case predict the cold ahead of time, you cannot claim credit for yourself in your climate change argument. If is like in golf when you hit a shot into the woods where it bounces off of a tree back onto the green. Unless you called the tree shot ahead of time, you cannot take credit for it. The failure to predict the cold trends by global warming advocates is further proof that they really do not have a handle on climate forecasting.

4) If colder than expected weather and climate changes, failed global warming models, and no-show ice ages do not make you leery of people like Al Gore, then consider the inane testimony that the head of the EPA, Gina McCarthy recently gave in front of the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee hearing, regarding her budget request for her department in 2016. She boldly claims that climate change is a "real" threat and “a science fact,” “not a religion” or "belief system." 

But she then proceeds to have little data or research available to answer even the simplest question from Senator Jeff Sessions regarding her assertions on climate change. And what “data” she does have is wrong, as proven in past posts in this blog which used official U.S. government data and research. 

Total and severe hurricane incidences are down, not up as predicted by global warming advocates and claimed by Ms. McCarthy. Wildfire incidences are down, not up as predicted by global warming advocates and claimed by Ms.McCarthy. Drought incidents are down, not up as predicted by global warming advocates and claimed by Ms. McCarthy.

Anyway, read the text from the exchange and then view the video and then ask yourself: “Given the lack of data, information, and incorrectness of her assertions, do we really want to put our future in the hands of a so-called expert who utterly fails to defend her positions and views, who is so totally unprepared to go in front of a Senate committee?

“Climate change is real. It is happening. It is a threat," McCarthy said. "Climate change is not a religion. It is not a belief system. It’s a science fact.”

When questioned by Sen. Jeff Sessions (R-Ala.) regarding the EPA’s predictions on global warming, however, McCarthy was unable to use the “facts” to her advantage.

The exchange went as follows:

SESSIONS: “When we go to our states, the group we have the most complaints about from our constituents—whether it’s highway people, whether it’s farmers, whether it’s energy people—is the Environmental Protection Agency. It’s an [agency of] extraordinary overreach. And you apparently aren't unaware of the pushback that’s occurring in the real world…

"I'm not inclined to increase your funding 6 percent above. So now you say that we’ve got a crisis and there are dangers out there. Let me ask you this: There was an article from Mr. [Bjorn] Lomborg… from the Copenhagen Institute. He says,along with Dr. Pielke from Colorado, that 'we’ve had fewer droughts in recent years.' Do you dispute that?”

MCCARTHY: “I don’t know in what context he’s making statements like that but I certainly can tell you about the droughts that are happening today.” ...

SESSIONS: “I'm not arguing to you today that you are wrong about global warming because we have a cold spell. I'm asking you, don't you know worldwide data about whether or not we are having fewer or less droughts? ...

"What about hurricanes? Have we had more or less hurricanes in the last decade?” …

MCCARTHY: “There have been more frequent hurricanes and more intense in terms of landing those hurricanes on land. I cannot answer that question. It’s a very complicated issue.”









SESSIONS: “It’s not complicated on how many have landed. We’ve had a dramatic reduction in the number. We’ve gone a decade without a hurricane [Category] 3 or above…

"Would you acknowledge that over the last 18 years, that the increase in temperature has been very little, and that it is well below, matter of fact, 90 percent below most of the environmental models that showed how fast temperature would increase?”

MCCARTHY: "I do not know what the models actually are predicting that you are referring to. There are many models.”

SESSIONS: "So let me ask you one more time... Are you asserting — Just give me this answer... If you take the average of the models predicting how fast the temperature would increase, is the temperature in fact increasing less than that or more than that?"

MCCARTHY: "I cannot answer that question specifically."

SESSIONS: “This is a stunning development, that the head of the Environmental Protection Agency—who should know more than anybody else in the world, who is imposing hundreds of billions of dollars in cost to prevent this climate temperature increase—doesn’t know whether their projections have been right or wrong.”

http://www.mrctv.org/blog/epa-chief-calls-climate-change-science-fact-can-t-verify-predictions-accurate#wZgcdR:rwyU

That will do it for today, more doubting material tomorrow. Look, I am not a scientist in this area. But I am smart enough to realize that there is a lot of doubt and contrary proof to the whole man made global warming and climate change theories. All many of us are asking for is an adult,mature discussion on ALL of the science.

However, given the belligerency of people like Al Gore and Barack Obama and others, that conversation is not possible and those of us that are global warming doubters and believers in science are not going to roll over because a couple of politicians and an inept head of the EPA yell at us for disagreeing with them.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:

Term Limits Now: http://www.howmuchworsecoulditget.com
http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org
http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w