Showing posts with label employment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label employment. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 14, 2015

Analysis: Proof That Reducing Income Taxes Significantly Increases Economic Vitality

We have often talked about the high level of taxation that the American political class places on hard working Americans. Recently, we ran a post where we found that the Tax Freedom Day this year is a day later than last year, with the average American working almost until the end of April just to pay their taxes to all levels of government. This is more than the average American spends on clothes, food, and shelter COMBINED.

And it is not as if the average American gets much good or benefit in exchange for this taxation oppression:

  • The Federal government’s welfare programs lose over $200 billion a year via wasteful spending and outright criminal fraud.
  • The IRS readily admits that it utterly fails in its mission to collect lawful taxes by not being able to collect almost $400 billion a year from tax evaders, placing more tax oppression on those Americans who do comply with the law.
  • We have talked about how the Federal government continues to spend taxpayer wealth on stupid programs and projects such as the study to determine when dogs became man’s best friend, developing a video game to simulate prom week, and other such nonsense.
  • The Washington political class continues its rich history of crony capitalism, giving ill-advised taxpayer funded incentives and tax breaks to large corporations and industries that support the continual reelection campaigns of politicians.
  • Over the decades, despite high and oppressive taxation levels, the country’s political class continue their perpetual failure to resolve any major issue facing American including a lost war on drugs, escalating health care costs, leaky borders, out of control military spending, the lack of a national energy strategy and plan, etc.
So this sets up the theme of today’s post: would we be better off if taxes were dropped significantly, meaning that politicians would have less government bureaucracies to manage, fund and interfere into our lives and freedoms, considering that high taxation gets us very little in return, as witnessed from our previous statements above?

One way to consider what would happen if taxes were lowered is to see what happens at the state level when tax rates vary. Consider the latest tax analysis and rankings from the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC). ALEC recently released its “Rich State, Poor State”analysis and rankings. Their effort is based on the following criteria: “The Economic Performance Ranking is a backward-looking measure based on a state’s performance on three important variables: State Gross Domestic Product, Absolute Domestic Migration, and Non-Farm Payroll Employment—all of which are highly influenced by state policy. This ranking details states’ individual performances over the past 10 years based on this economic data.”

Thus, this effort gives us a good measure across three parameters (overall wealth in a state, how many people are moving in or out of a state looking for a better life, and employment opportunities) of how well the economic conditions are in a state. What we did next is to cross this state level economic conditions with the state income tax rates as published by the Tax Foundation. In our analysis we took the highest marginal income tax rate in each state as a surrogate for the tax burden in that state, i.e. the higher the the highest marginal income tax rate is the more oppression the tax burden in that state.

The top economic performing states according to the ALEC analysis, along with the Tax Foundation tax rate information is listed below:

  1. Utah 5.0%
  2. North Dakota 3.2%
  3. Indiana 3.4%
  4. North Carolina 5.8%
  5. Arizona 4.5%
  6. Idaho 7.4%
  7. Georgia 6.0%
  8. Wyoming 0.0%
  9. South Dakota 0.0%
  10. Nevada 0.0%
  11. Texas 0.0%
  12. Virginia 5.8%
  13. Alaska 0.0%
  14. Wisconsin 7.6%
  15. Florida 0.0%
A few observations:

  • The arithmetic average of the above top performing states is 3.4%.
  • Six of the top performing states do not have any state income tax at all.
  • All of the states without a state income tax in the country are in the top fifteen performing states from an economic performance perspective.
Now let’s look at the worst performing economic vitality states over the past ten years as measured by the ALEC analysis with their top marginal tax rate also indicated (note: in this list, New York is the worst performing state and West Virginia is the 15th worst performing state:

  1. New York 8.8%
  2. Vermont 8.9%
  3. Minnesota 9.8%
  4. Connecticut 6.7%
  5. New Jersey 8.9%
  6. Oregon 9.9%
  7. California 13.3%
  8. Montana 6.9%
  9. Maine 7.9%
  10. Pennsylvania 3.1%
  11. Illinois 5.0%
  12. Rhode Island 6.0%
  13. Delaware 6.6%
  14. Hawaii 11.0%
  15. West Virginia 6.5%
A few observations:

  • The arithmetic average of the tax rates of these fifteen worst performing states, 7.9%, is substantially more than twice the average of the best performing states.
  • None of the worst performing states are state income tax free.
  • Only one of the worst performing states’ top state income tax rate, Pennsylvania, is equal to or less than the average of the fifteen best performing states.
Now, just because there is a strong inverse correlation between tax rates and economic growth (i.e., the lower the tax rate the higher economic vitality) does not mean causality. However, given that the ALEC analysis is measured along three pertinent economic parameters (state GDP, migration, and employment), you could also make the case the lower tax rates make for or cause better economic conditions.

Thus, at least at the state level, allowing residents to keep more of their worth from a state income tax perspective correlates with higher state GDP, better instate migration, and/or better employment opportunities. And that correlation could also be a causality relationship also, less taxation = better state economy.

Given that we get few benefits from the Federal government, a political entity that is better at wasting taxpayer wealth than providing vital and efficient services, why not try the state model at the national level? What have we got to lose? We pay high for low returns, what if we pay less and still get low returns, how much worse off are we than if we continue to pay higher taxes?

And the argument that taxes have to stay high to provide these inadequate government services is inane. Most of this blog’s writing has been to show how the Federal government and the politicians that operate it waste our taxpayer wealth everyday of the year. We have already provided a comprehensive plan of how to take $9 TRILLION out of the Federal government expense stream:

http://loathemygovernment.blogspot.com/2012/02/united-states-of-purple-presidency-plan.html

Thus, our conclusion is take this $9 TRILLION savings plan, reduce government spending, reduce our tax burden, and see if the same good economic results occur nationally that happened at the state level. What have we got to lose except not finding out when dogs became man’s best friend and other such government funded nonsense.


Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:

Term Limits Now: http://www.howmuchworsecoulditget.com
http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w






Tuesday, September 23, 2014

September, 2014 Part 4 The Unfolding Disaster That Is Obama Care: More Temporary Workers, Failures of Single Payer Models, Chaotic Data Systems and More

Over the past few years, but especially over the past thirteen months, we have had to devote more and more posts each month to the unfolding disaster that is Obama Care. This legislation, without a doubt, is the worst piece of legislation ever passed, likely passed by the most inept and useless set of Washington politicians that this country has ever had to endure. The disasters from this law include at least the following downsides:
  • It has and will continue to increase the national debt.
  • It will leave tens of millions of Americans still uninsured ten years from now.
  • It has restricted overall economic growth.
  • It raised taxes on all Americans in dozens of ways.
  • It has reduced the job growth rate in this country.
  • It has turned many full time workers into part time workers.
  • It has generally increase the cost of health insurance, both premiums and deductibles, over what was available in the insurance market before it was passed.
  • The Constitution was violated any number of times when the Obama administration unilaterally and illegally changed components of the law without the permission of Congress or the American people.
  • The American people were lied to over and over, directly by the President and Democrats in Congress, on the ramifications of the law.
  • It has caused millions of American to lose access to the current insurance policies they had.
  • It has caused millions of Americans to lose access to their preferred doctors, preferred hospitals, and in many cases, current medicine treatments.
  • It has likely increased the volume of people visiting hospital emergency rooms.
  • It has caused thousands of doctors to retire early or change professions in order to not deal with the bureaucracy and idiocy of the law.
  • It has exposed the inability of the Federal government and various state governments to develop, launch, and operate a successful program.
  • It has exposed millions of Americans’ personal financial information to identity thieves.
  • It never addressed, and thus, never resolved, the root causes of our escalating health care costs in this country.
I am sure that I omitted some of the negative ramifications of the legislation but you get the idea. To review past discussions of past disasters from Obama Care, enter ”the unfolding disaster that is Obama Care” in the search box above.

Let’ see what new disasters of Obama Care we can find today:

1) Amy Ridenours National Center Blog recently carried a story written by Project 21’s Kevin Martin. Many people, seeing the disaster that is Obama Care, are now clamoring for a so-called single payer system in this country, a system in which the government controls each and every aspect of health care delivery. 

A sane person, knowing the reality of government’s ineptness, would say that this is a very bad idea. And based on the disastrous health care the government has provided to our veterans in a pseudo-single payer system, that reality of government incompetence in the health care field became crystal clear. However, for those that still cling to the false utopia of a single payer system, consider the research and realities that Mr. Martin presents:

1) Canada has had a single payer government controlled health care system for a long time. Keeping that in mind, consider the fact Angela Johnson, president of Medical Confidence, Inc., has just written a new book entitled “Step by Step Guide to Navigating your way through Canada’s Health Care System and Minimizing Your Wait Time.” The book is billed as “a first of its kind and must read for Canadians, providing them with 14 valuable tips to overcome these issues and minimize their wait times.” If you have to read a book in order to understand and cope with medical wait times, maybe the single payer system is not the most efficient way to deliver health care.

2. Let’s stay with Canada’s single payer system. In Canada’s capital, Ottawa, Mr. Martin writes that “1,195 children and youth are waiting for mental health outpatient and outreach services at CHEO and the Royal, up 10 per cent from 1,082 a year ago,” according to an article in the Ottawa Citizen. The wait time for mental health treatment Canada could be up to a year. Not a good situation when our mental health needs might go a year before being addressed, never mind cured.

3. Great Britain also has a single payer system. It’s National Health Service (NHS) recommends that no cancer patient should wait more than 62 days to start treatment. That does not mean you will be treated within 62 days, the 62 days is just a recommendation.

However, the Daily Mail recently reported just over 9,900 British cancer patients waited longer than that in the first six months of 2014. Like the mental health patients in Canada, waiting for cancer treatments is never a good thing since according to a recent  article in the journal, Radiotherapy and Oncology, where the researchers assert that for breast cancer there is an “increase in the risk of recurrence of 1.0% per month of delay” and for head and neck cancer there is an “increase in the risk of recurrence of 3.7% per month of delay”.

4. Staying in Great Britain, the Daily Mail reported in August that the “number of patients languishing on NHS waiting lists for operations is at its highest for six years…There are 3.2 million people awaiting surgery – a rise of 700,000 compared with 2010.” Not only are their 3.2 million people on the wait list for surgery, 809,000 patients were waiting for a diagnostic test and 15,600 operations were cancelled at the last minute in the second quarter of 2014. And these numbers may be an under count due to errors and incomplete records. Delays, cancelled tests, sounds just like our own government’s mistreatment of our veterans.

The single payer model is not a solution to our nation’s ever escalating health care costs for the simple reason that the Obama Care model is a failure: both approaches fail to address and resolve the underlying root causes of high health care costs:
  1. Americans eat too much.
  2. Americans eat too much of the wrong kind of food.
  3. Americans do not exercise enough.
  4. Americans smoke too much.
  5. Americans are aging and being afflicted more and more with aging diseases, e.g. dementia, Parkinsons, etc., diseases that are not addressed by Obama care.
  6. Government health care systems, e.g. Medicare, Medicaid, are infested with inefficiencies, waste, and outright criminal fraud, resulting in the wasting of upwards of $100 billion a year, $100 billion that could be spent on health care and cure research.
  7. The American health care system is in need of significant and common sense tort reform.
Until you address and resolve these root causes, Obama Care, single payer systems, or any other government bureaucratic approach will fail miserably. Obama Care proves this point exquisitely.

2) Adding onto the root causes of our high health care costs, a recent article in the July 11, 2014 issue of The Week pointed out that one in ten U.S. deaths of working age Americans are due to alcoholism. More than half of these preventable deaths are due to binge drinking.

There is likely high medical costs involved in liver treatment and transplants and other alcohol induced medical conditions that add to our high health care costs. Thus, one of the nation’s and Obama's top priorities should have been a national public health effort to reduce the incidence of alcoholism, in addition to reducing the incident of smoking. Both public health efforts, if successful, would have had the major effect of reducing health care costs and the cost of health insurance. Unfortunately, Obama Care gives little attention and focus to both of these major root causes.

3) According to a recent New York Times article that was summarized in the September 12, 2014 issue of The Week magazine, the number of American workers employed through temp agencies has skyrocketed to a record 2.9 million workers. These workers now make up a record 2% of the nation’s workforce.

However, this should not come as surprise since this trend was predicted long before it came true, another ugly consequence of Obama Care. The law’s tenets often make it financially better for a small business to hire only temporary workers, given the law’s fines and penalties. This stresses out families and workers who desire full time work but who are stuck settling for part time and temporary work as businesses try to stay both in business and legal under Obama Care.

4) There is no disagreement that the roll out of Obama Care’s data systems programs, websites, and processes was an unqualified disaster. The Health and Human Services Inspector general has found a good reason why that was so: The entire effort was badly coordinated, with $800 million spent and spread out over 60 contracts with 33 different companies. 

You cannot possibly get something done efficiently and effectively when so many different entities are involved and the overall coordination, what little there was, is handled by an incompetent company, CGI Federal, a company that was relieved of its duties a few short months after the disastrous roll out. CGI was paid a quarter of a billion dollars just to be relieved of duties by Accenture Federal Systems who was paid an additional $45 million to clean up the CGI mess.

5) Everything about Obama Care was poorly thought out and executed even worse. Whether it was the online website headaches and failures, the negative impact on business hiring, employment and the negative impacts on the economy, the increased threat and reality of identity theft, the stress and heartache of cancelled policies, the complete missing of the underlying root causes of our high health care costs, etc., you probably could not have done a worse job at legislating in this area if you tried.

As a result, we are no closer to taming high health care costs than when the legislation was passed despite spending billions of dollars and screwing up millions of lives over the past four years or so. The entire disaster was nicely summed up in a recent Wall Street Journal editorial piece that touched on the many obvious and more salient points of the entire fiasco:

Whether the Affordable Care Act lives up to its name depends on how, or whether, you consider its consequences for the wider economy.

Millions of people pay a significant portion of their income for health insurance so they and their families can get good health care when they need it. The magnitude of their sacrifices demonstrates the importance that people ascribe to health care.

The Affordable Care Act attempts to help low- and middle-income families avoid some of the tough sacrifices that would be necessary to purchase health insurance without assistance. But no program can change the fundamental reality that society itself has to make sacrifices in order to deliver health care to more people. Workers and therefore production have to be taken away from other industries to beef up health care, or the workforce itself has to get bigger, or somehow people have to work more productively.

Although the ACA helps specific populations by giving them a bigger slice of the economic pie, the law diminishes the pie itself. It reduces the amount that Americans work, and it makes their work less productive. This slows growth in both personal income and gross domestic product.

In further expanding the frontiers of redistribution, the ACA reduces the benefits of employment for both employers and employees. Employers that don’t provide health insurance are either subject to large penalties based on the number and types of employees that they have, or are threatened with enormous penalties when they get the opportunity to expand their business. 

About a quarter of the nation’s employees, more than 35 million men and women, currently work for employers that don’t offer health insurance. These tend to be small and midsize businesses with employees who already make less than the average American worker. The result of penalizing businesses for hiring and expanding is going to be less hiring and expanding.

Another sixth of the nation’s employees—almost 25 million people—are in a full-time position that makes them ineligible for the law’s new and generous assistance with health-insurance premiums and cost sharing. They are ineligible for subsidies simply because they are working full time and thereby eligible for their employers’ coverage. Because the only ways for them to get the new assistance is to move to part-time status, find an employer that doesn’t offer coverage, or stop working, we can expect millions of workers to make one or more of those adjustments.

Most people wouldn’t give up working merely to qualify for a few thousand dollars in assistance. But it is a mistake to assume that nobody is affected by subsidies, because there are people who aren’t particularly happy with working, planning to leave their job anyway, or otherwise on the fence between working and not working. A new subsidy is enough to push them over the edge or to get them to stop working sooner than they would have otherwise.

So much stress, aggravation, and failure for so little upside. And the sad part is that this time next month we will be back with more disasters and no successes from the worst piece of legislation ever enacted, legislation that was enacted by the worst set of Washington politicians ever put in office.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:

Term Limits Now: http://www.howmuchworsecoulditget.com
http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.robertringer.com/
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w