Tuesday, December 23, 2014

December, 2014, Part 2, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Climate Predictions That Went Oh So Wrong

Several years ago we decided to look into the popular craze at that time that the world was warming and global warming was going to wipe out humanity. Rather than just assume that global warming advocates like Al Gore were correct, we wanted to look at ALL of the science, ALL of the climate data, and All of the realities of global warming.

And to be perfectly honest, we were tired of Al Gore, Barack Obama and other global warming advocates yelling at global warming doubters like myself, calling us racists, homophobes, flat earth believers, etc. In order to have a mature, adult conversation about global warming, we felt it was necessary to treat those with a different opinion with respect not derision and that to get to an adult solution, all of the science should be included in the debate.

Over the years, however, we have put together a very strong case that man made global warming and its rebranded marketing theme, climate change, were indeed mostly a false position, a travesty of science. Those who believed in global warming ignored or failed to consider scientific findings and research that was contrary to their views.

They were found to have suppressed or changed raw data and findings that did not support their global warming positions. In short, they were the ones that had shortchanged the scientific method, not the doubters.

To review our past reviews of the global warming fallacy, type in the phrase, “I am a global warming doubter” in the search box above. Over the next few days we will continue to look at the latest climate data and realities and again prove that being a global warming doubter is a position that is strongly supported by science and not Al Gore hysterics.

Yesterday’s post ended with the review of three dire climate forecasts from decades ago that turned out to be incredibly wrong. At the time those forecasts were made, they were done with the same veracity and emotion as Al Gore types make climate predictions today.

Since these historic predictions turned out to be so horribly wrong, their fallacy casts some doubts whether those same types of forecasts being made today of dire consequences due to man made global warming and climate change are also bound to go horribly wrong. We went over them not to mock them but to point out if this country is ever going to have a serious discussion about climate change, all history, all science, all reality needs to be taken into account in that discussion, even the views of doubters like myself.

Today we are going to look at even more global warming and climate change forecasts, views, and predictions that have gone horribly wrong even though those making those predictions claimed to have science on their side. The source of this erroneous predictions comes from the website:
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They were posted on the site on December 4. 2014  by Tom Scott:

- “Scientist says Arctic ice will wipe out Canada, Professor Gregory of Yale University stated that ‘another world ice-epoch is due.’ He was the American representative to the Pan-Pacific Science Congress and warned that North America would disappear as far south as the Great Lakes, and huge parts of Asia and Europe would be wiped out.” Chicago Tribune August 9, 1923. Comment: a guess in the 1920s global cooling was the latest rage among climate scientists, a reality that never materialized.

- “The discoveries of changes in the sun’s heat and southward advance of glaciers in recent years have given rise to the conjectures of the possible advent of a new ice age.”  Time Magazine, September 10, 1923. Comment: More global cooling advocates.

- “America [is] in longest warm spell since 1776; temperature line records a 25 year rise." New York Times 3/27/1933. Comment: by the 1930s it appears that global cooling had reversed itself into global warming, a mere ten years after Time magazine predicted global cooling.

- “After a week of discussions on the causes of climate change, an assembly of specialists from several continents seems to have reached unanimous agreement on only one point: it is getting colder.“ New York Times, January 30, 1961. Comment: Whoops, back to global cooling.

- “Like an outrigger canoe riding before a huge comber, the earth with its inhabitants is caught on the downslope of an immense climatic wave that is plunging us toward another Ice Age.“ Los Angeles Times, December 23, 1962.

- “It is now pretty clearly agreed that the CO2 content [in the atmosphere] will rise 25% by 2000. This could increase the average temperature near the earth’s surface by 7 degrees Fahrenheit. This in turn could raise the level of the sea by 10 feet. Goodbye New York. Goodbye Washington, for that matter.“ Presidential adviser Daniel Moynihan, 1969 (later U.S. Senator  from New York 1976-2000). Comment: At last look, New York and Washington D.C. were still above water and dry.

- “If present trends continue, the world will be … eleven degrees colder by the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us in an ice age.” Kenneth E.F. Watt in “Earth Day,” 1970. Comment: Wow, within one year of Moynihan’s prediction we went from global warming to Watt’s global cooling world.

- “Because of increased dust, cloud cover and water vapor “…the planet will cool, the water vapor will fall and freeze, and a new Ice Age will be born.” Newsweek magazine, January 26, 1970.  Comment: support for a new Ice Age continues to build.

- “New Ice Age Coming—It’s Already Getting Colder. Some midsummer day, perhaps not too far in the future, a hard, killing frost will sweep down on the wheat fields of Saskatchewan, the Dakotas and the Russian steppes." Los Angles Times Oct 24, 1971

- “Arctic specialist Bernt Balchen says a general warming trend over the North Pole is melting the polar ice cap and may produce an ice-free Arctic Ocean by the year 2000.” Los Angles Times, May 16, 1972. Comment: at last look, the Arctic ice cap was growing significantly and was nowhere close to being ice-free.

- “New York will probably be like Florida 15 years from now.” St. Louis Post-Dispatch Sept. 17, 1989. Comment: Pendulum swings back to global warming in less than twenty years but New York is nothing like Florida twenty five years later.

- “By 1995, the greenhouse effect would be desolating the heartlands of North America and Eurasia with horrific drought, causing crop failures and food riots… “(By 1996) The Platte River of Nebraska would be dry, while a continent-wide black blizzard of prairie topsoil will stop traffic on interstates, strip paint from houses and shut down computers… “The Mexican police will round up illegal American migrants surging into Mexico seeking work as field hands.”’ Michael Oppenheimer, “Dead Heat” 1990. Comment: wrong on every single prediction.

- “At present rates of exploitation there may be no rainforest left in 10 years. If measures are not taken immediately, the greenhouse effect may be unstoppable in 12 to 15 years.“ Edward Goldsmith, 5000 Days to Save the Planet, 1991. Comment: 23 years later the rain forest is still large and in existence and the warming due to the so-called greenhouse effect stopped about 18 years ago.

- “Within a few years winter snowfall will become a very rare and exciting event. Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.” Dr David Viner, Senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia, March 20, 2000. Comment: I am pretty sure that all kids that lived through the polar vortex this past winter would disagree with Mr. Viner.

- “Environmental refugees to top 50 million in 5 years –‘There are well-founded fears that the number of people fleeing untenable environmental conditions may grow exponentially as the world experiences the effects of climate change and other phenomena.” UNU-EHS Director Janos Bogardi – United Nations University news release, October 11, 2005. Comment: while there have been millions of refugees over the past decade, the vast majority of them, if not all, have not been caused changing climate or environmental conditions.

- “Arctic warming has become so dramatic that the North Pole may melt this summer (2008), report scientists studying the effects of climate change in the field. ‘We’re actually projecting this year that the North Pole may be free of ice for the first time [in history].’” David Barber, of the University of Manitoba, told National Geographic News aboard the C.C.G.S. Amundsen, a Canadian research icebreaker, National Geographic News, June 20, 2008. Comment: six short years after this dire prediction, the polar ice cap is growing in size, not going away.

- “Mike [Mann], can you delete any e-mails you may have had with Keith [Trenberth] re AR4? Keith will do likewise…Can you also e-mail Gene and get him to do the same? I don’t have his e-mail address…We will be getting Caspar to do likewise.” Dr. Phil Jones, Director of the Climatic Research Unit, Climategate e-mail, May 29, 2008 (AR4 was the 4th Climate Assessment report released by the IPCC in 2007). Comment: these are the scientists that Al Gore types rely on, scientists that try to cover up and destroy evidence that their predictions have been wrong all along.

Hopefully you get the idea. Throughout the past hundred years, scientists have swung wildly in their predictions of climate change from the birth of new ice ages to the death of humanity due to global warming. In all cases, their drastic predictions have not come true even though they were probably viewed as the leading scientists and experts of their time.

More recently we have pointed out that so-called “sophisticated climate forecasting models have almost always been way off in predicting global warming trends:


















Given this history of poor and poorer prediction of climate change, do we really want to not question Al Gore, Barack Obama,  and others like them and blindly accept their predictions when history predicts they will be grossly wrong?

Are we really willing to sacrifice our economic growth and well being based on this history of incorrect forecasting and the reality that no matter what the U.S. does relative to carbon output those actions will be overwhelmed by the growth in the carbon output by countries like China and India?

These are the questions that need to be addressed in a mature and adult manner as opposed to the slur-infested dialog that global warming advocate sling at doubters in climate discussions. But that discussion is unlikely to ever happen, given the lack of leadership and maturity in the Washington political class, both current members and former members of that class.

More science and realities tomorrow where we continue to show that it is more correct to be a global warming doubter than a global warming advocate.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:

Term Limits Now: http://www.howmuchworsecoulditget.com
http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w






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