Saturday, July 25, 2020

July, 2020, Part 8, Political Class Insanity: How The Government Cannot Count When It Comes To the Coronavirus, Chapter 1

It is the beginning of another month which means it is time again to review the latest political class insanity from the American political class. Each month it takes us multiple posts to cover the wasteful spending, incompetent government organizations and employees, government programs that usually make a problem worse than resolving it, inane and idiotic politician comments, etc.

To review past posts on this insanity and idiocy, just click on the first few posts in each month listed to the right of this page. After reviewing just a handful of these insanity posts we think you will agree that we are currently being served by the worst set of American politicians ever to hold office in our entire history.

1) Today we will be focusing on the coronavirus. Not because it has sickened and killed so many people around the world but because it illustrates the pure incompetence of government and the politicians that operate that government and their inability to simply be able to count effectively. You cannot solve a problem unless you understand the reality of the problem and almost always the reality of a problem is determined by the data and numbers that describe the problem. 

But if you cannot even collect that data and numbers correctly then your ability to solve a problem is almost nil. You are basing any solutions on faulty data and premises and only pure luck will ever get you to the right solution.

Consider the case of this poor guy in Tennessee:
  • According to Amanda Prestifiacomo, writing for the Daily Caller website, Brock Ballou lives in Nashville, Tennessee.
  • Unfortunately he received a call from the state of Tennessee that notified him that he had tested positive for the coronavirus.
  • The problem is he has never taken any kind of test for the virus but somehow got counted and classified as a positive test for it.
  • Now, he had expected to be contacted by the state since he had come in contact with a coworker who had tested positive for the virus.
  • The state worker who called insisted multiple times that he was a positive case despite his insistence he had never been tested so how could he be positive: “She specifically said – I’m looking at it right here – you tested positive – this is a follow up call to see how your symptoms are.”
  • In addition: “I’m 100 percent sure that’s what she said, she was looking right at it, she told me I’m in the system – looking right at it that you’re showing positive.”
  • But it did not end there since Mr. Ballou continued to receive calls from the state in subsequent days checking on his symptoms.
  • The local news station investigating his claims verified that all of the phone numbers that called him are indeed connected to the state’s board of health entity.
So, what do we have here? A single isolated computer error or data entry error or systemic reporting problems that significantly over count the actual number of cases? Whatever the truth is, the many, many instances of idiocy like this bring into doubt the whole validity of the coronavirus numbers and the drastic steps the country was forced to take, steps that have not been necessary if the numbers are inflated.

2) Following up on this Tennessee problem, recall that we have previously reported on the bogus numbers that were surfacing down here in Florida:
  • Many testing labs in Florida reported that 100% of everyone who walked in their doors and were tested for the virus tested positive, a highly unlikely outcome for even a single testing center never mind multiple testing centers.
  • In addition, some labs reported positive rates that were less than 100% but which were still unrealistically high such as the Orlando Veteran’s Medical Center which reported a positive rate of 76%.
  • Follow analysis showed that the actual positive rate there was only a fraction of that 76%, only 6%, an initial over count that was 13 times higher than reality.
  • The positive rate at Orlando Health was thought to be a whopping 98% but follow analysis showed it to be on tenth that rate, just under 10%.
Again, you cannot solve a problem unless you know what and how big the problem is and in Tennessee and Florida, we may not know what we think we know, that the infection rate may be far lower than the political class and government is telling us.

3) But the east coast is not the only source of bad virus numbers:
  • A Colorado man recently died, his death attributed to the coronavirus.
  • However, follow up analysis shows that he died of alcohol poisoning, he had actually drunk himself to death, a reality that had nothing to do with the virus.
  • David Aaro of Fox News reported that Sebastian Yellow, age 35, was found dead on May 4 and his death was initially attributed to the virus.
  • However, the county coroner followed up and found out that he actually died because his blood alcohol test was at a whopping .55 which led to acute alcohol poisoning.
  • The .55 level is about seven times higher than what the state of Colorado considers being intoxicated.
  • While Yellow did have the virus in his blood, the coroner concluded that it had nothing to do with his death.
  • Which was consistent with other cases in Colorado where three nursing home deaths were initially attributed to the virus but follow up medical analysis found that the virus had nothing to do with their deaths.
  • But this should not surprise anyone since the Colorado Board of Health basically says that if anyone has a positive test for the virus and then dies, the cause of death is officially considered the virus: "We classify a death as confirmed when there was a case who had a positive SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) laboratory test and then died. We also classify some deaths as probable." 
  • The Board Of Health also went on to say that: “We will also count a death as a COVID-19 death when there is no known positive laboratory test but the death certificate lists 'COVID-19' as a cause of death."
  • If I read that last statement correctly, even if there is no proof that a deceased person in the state actually had the virus, they will count the death as a result of the virus simply because the death certificate, without any proof, says it was a virus death.
So, in Colorado if you die from alcohol poisoning, there is a good chance you might be cited as a virus death. If you die in a nursing home, where you were likely placed there in the first place because of another health condition, you might be classified as a virus death. If there is no proof you have the virus but die anyway, you might still be classified as a virus death. 

As we stated up front, you cannot resolve any issue unless you have defined the parameters of that issue. And in the case of the coronavirus, many, many government entities and the politicians that oversee and operate those entities have shown again how incompetent they are at confronting and resolving any issue facing the country, When you cannot even accurately count, you cannot be expected to resolve any problems.

Unfortunately, the inability to count is not restricted to Tennessee, Florida, and Colorado as we will see in the followup posts in the next week or so.

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