Friday, September 27, 2019

September, 2019, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Too Much Ice At The Arctic, Evil Leaky Gas Stoves, and Hurricane Myths Debunked

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of manmade global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:
  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control on our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical post listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims.

1) We have often discussed how every major and possibly every minor forecast of what man made global warming would do to the Earth was grossly wrong. Not a little wrong, not somewhat wrong, horrifically wrong. For example, Al Gore once estimated that within ten years there was a very good chance that the North Pole would be ice free. Did not come close to happening.

Thus, it is tough to take any man made global warming hysteria seriously, given this failed track record. A recent article on the Godfather Politics website is another example of how global warming advocates have suffered another embarrassing situation:
  • Warner Todd Huston, writing on September 10, 2019, related how a boat load of global warming advocates got trapped in the Arctic because of, wait for it, too much ice.
  • An Arctic tour ship, MS MALMO, was taking 16 passengers up to the North Pole.
  • Halfway between Norway and the North Pole the ship got stuck in ice on September 3 off of the Longyearbyen Svalbard Archipelago.
  • On board was a documentary film crew who were investigating climate change and the possible melting of Arctic ice.
  • The 16 passengers were rescued by helicopter while 7 crew members remained behind, waiting for rescue from the ice.
  • According to the article, this is the sixth year in a row where global warming advocates went north looking for the shrinking ice sheet and ended up getting trapped in the Arctic ice and needed to be rescued.
  • For example: “The Polar Ocean Challenge set out on a two-month campaign hoping to prove that the ice at the North Pole was melting. As the expedition’s website explains, the group aimed to show “that the Arctic sea ice coverage shrinks back so far now in the summer months that sea that was permanently locked up now can allow passage through. Despite their best intentions to show that the ice is melting and the temperature at the pole is higher than normal, the group has only been confronted with the exact opposite as ice continues to block their path.”
Einstein once said that “Insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result.” Global warming advocates keep advocating the same thing over and over and are never right. The continual excursions to the North Pole and the continued getting stuck in the ice that overwhelms them is insanity.

2) Although global warming advocates and forecasts have always been wrong, that never stops them with coming up with zanier and zanier ways to address the myth of global warming and make life inconvenient and more expensive for the rest of us. Consider another recent article from the Godfather Politics website:
  • We have previously reported on a number of things that cause global warming, from farting cows to beavers building dams.
  • Warner Todd Huston writing on September 9, 2019, reported that global warming advocates say that leaking gas stoves are a global warming and climate change nemesis.
  • Yes, a leaky fitting on your kitchen stove is killing humanity.
  • Never mind that China and India are planning to put 2,500 additional coal generating plants online to feed their energy leads, your GE kitchen gas stove is going to put us over the edge.
  • This is serious since some cities are actually moving to outlaw gas stoves in residential homes: “Berkeley, California, in July became the first U.S. city to pass an ordinance banning gas systems in new buildings, and it may soon be followed by many others, according to interviews with local officials, activists and industry groups.”
  • LA and Seattle are also considering similar rules and laws.
The sad part of all of this is the increased use of natural gas has helped the U.S. lead the world in reducing its carbon footprint. But the same people that want everyone to reduce their carbon footprint are now going nuts on the those of us that are actually reducing carbon output. 

Did these folks think about how the electricity will be created to power electric stoves that are replacing the gas stoves? What if it is oil or coal producing the electricity for these new electric stoves, won’t that actually increase carbon output?

From cows to beavers to clean burning gas stoves, is nothing out of bounds for these folks? Rather than work on these nickel/dime nits of problems, would it not be more productive to work to get those 2,500 coal burning plants diverted into a cleaner fuel like….natural gas? Such bad priorities.

3) Global warming advocates can always rely on the mainstream press to support their climate myths. Such was the case recently when Hurricane Dorian was churning off of the Florida coast. CNN’s Wolf Blitzer wasted no time attributing the hurricane to, you guessed it, humanity’s carbon footprint: “This unprecedented town hall is dedicated to the climate crisis, an issue many voters say it needs to happen now and scientists say that action needs to happen now. We’re seeing firsthand the effects of climate change as a powerful Atlantic hurricane is sitting right now off the coast of Florida. It could make landfall tomorrow in South Carolina.”

If Blitzer was correct, one would expect the most powerful hurricanes to be more frequent and intense in the more recent times than previously. It makes sense, mankind’s use of carbon based fuels has increased over time so it makes sense in these folks’ minds that hurricanes and adverse weather should be getting worse over time.

But is that actually the case? There are scientific measurements of hurricanes that have been done for hurricanes. And guess what? Some of the most intense hurricanes have happened long ago, way before the global warming/climate change myths took place.

Consider what the most terrible hurricanes were from a Hurricane Severity Index perspective:

Most severe landfalling Atlantic hurricanes in the United States
Based on size and intensity for total points on the Hurricane Severity Index[32]
Rank
Hurricane
Year
Intensity
Size
Total
1
17
25
42
2
15
25
40
3
22
14
36
11
25
36
13
23
36
6
17
16
33
2005
12
21
33
8
12
20
32
9
10
20
30
10
16
11
27
 Observations:
  • The most severe hurricane happened 48 years ago in 1961, during a time when there was far less carbon already in the atmosphere and being dumped into it every year.
  • Four of the top seven the most severe hurricanes happened before 1969.
  • Six of the top ten hurricanes did not happen in this century.
  • None of the top ten most severe hurricanes have occurred in the past 11 years.

You get the idea. If global warming and climate change due to humanity was a real thing, then the most severe hurricanes should have occurred more frequently and more recently. But that is not the case. Hurricane Katrina, which was supposed to be the trend setter way back in 2005 never set any trend. The really bad hurricanes occurred long before there was such a large carbon footprint in the world.

Climate change has been occurring since the beginning of time. It continues today. But to say we must drastically change our life style, i.e. stop beaver dam building, kill all the cows, and dump gas ranges, is an idiotic idea relative to real science and real data. Sorry, Wolf, there is no climate crisis, just the natural flow of Mother Natural. For once, look at the damn data.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:


http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w



Sunday, September 22, 2019

September, 2019, By The Numbers: Why HIgh Taxation Will Bankrupt Illinois, New Jersey and Several Other HIgh Tax States

Today we are going to focus on Americans’ desire for freedom and humans desire to keep the fruits of their labor. We have often asserted that in this country there is no separating economic freedom from political and individual freedom. The more economic freedom a person or family has the better their life is: they have more money to spend on enjoyment, they have more money to spend on shelter, they have more money to start a business, they have more money to better educate their kids, they have more money to give to charity etc. They have more freedom.

Economic freedom in this case is the ability to enjoy lower taxation and retain more of one’s earnings. In theory, government should be doing, and being paid to do, only elementary sets of functions that are better and more efficiently done by an impartial third party. These minimal functions should include road and infrastructure maintenance, a judicial system, police protection, disaster relief, and one could include public education. Those are the only functions that government should be doing and should be paid for.

But we all know there are two realities about government in this world:
  1. Government entities do such much more which is unnecessary, inefficient, and costly from a taxation perspective.
  2. Even the functions they should be doing, e.g. infrastructure support, they generally do badly and costly.
The other reality that we have often discussed is the counter intuitive reality that states with the highest taxation rates are the ones that do the worst job at their functions AND are the most likely to go bankrupt in the very near future. One would think that those states with the highest taxes would be the most financially solvent, they are taking more from their citizens then other states.But that is not the case, the more those state politicians take from taxpayers the more they overspend and waste.

Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Illinois, and California have often been discussed in this blog as the states that are hurtling towards bankruptcy. Yet, they collect more taxes on both an absolute basis and a percentage basis than most other states. This indicates a massive inability to function efficiently and effectively.

Which brings us to a wonderful and insightful website, “How Money Walks”:


The owners of this website did an amazing and detailed analysis. They looked at IRS data over time with the intention of figuring out where the wealth in this country is moving into and out of. If everyone was happy with their economic freedom where they lived, than you would expect that wealth would be pretty static and stationary. Obviously people move because of new jobs, family matters, and retirement so one wouldn't expect wealth distribution to remain totally static.

But I thought it would be interesting to see if there was MASSIVE shifts in wealth going on with my theory being that if humans love economic freedom, they would be migrating to states where they can maximize that economic freedom, i.e. states with lower taxation rates. 

Since this is a “by the numbers” post there will be a lot of numbers discussed below. But the emerging picture is clear: the states with the highest taxation rates are driving out the wealth from their states’ citizens as that wealth is generally moving, in massive amounts, to states with much lower taxation rates. This leads the high taxation states to raise their state tax rates to compensate for the wealth migrating out of the state which means higher taxes for those people that did not move out of the state which means that more people will migrate out and the financial death spiral is set in place.

Let’s get started:
  • From 1993 to 2016, my former home state of New Jersey lost $35.4 billion in adjusted gross income as New Jersey residents fled to Florida and elsewhere, resulting in Florida picking up about $18.3 billion in adjusted gross income of that $35.4 billion from New Jersey outward migration.
  • From 1993 to 2016, New York lost a whopping $99.5 billion in adjusted gross income as New York residents fled to Florida and elsewhere, resulting in Florida picking up $27.9 billion in adjusted gross income from New York.
  • Connecticut lost $16.3 billion in adjusted gross income as Connecticut residents fled to Florida and elsewhere, resulting in Florida picking up the majority of that Connecticut loss, $10.6 billion.
  • Massachusetts lost $17.2 billion in adjusted income as Massachusetts residents fled to Florida and elsewhere, resulting in Florida picking up $8.2 billion from Massachusetts
  • Illinois lost $50.2 million in adjusted income as Illinois residents fled to Florida and elsewhere, resulting in Florida picking up $12.9 billion in adjusted gross income from Illinois.
  • California lost $58.0 billion in adjusted gross income as California residents fled to Nevada and elsewhere, resulting in Nevada picking up $14.1 billion in adjusted gross income.
  • Michigan lost $21.1 billion adjusted gross income as Michigan residents fled to Florida and elsewhere, resulting in Florida picking up $7.6 billion in adjusted gross income.
  • Ohio lost $26.1 billion in adjusted gross income as Ohio residents fled to Florida and elsewhere, resulting in Florida picking up $9.6 billion.
Thus, excluding California, where most of their outbound wealth went to Nevada, Florida picked up almost $110 billion in wealth over the period, 1993 to 2016, from just the other six states listed above. Other states that made out quite well with wealth migrating to their states include South Carolina, North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas.

Now look at the states that have no state income tax imposed on their state residents (the net gross adjusted income gains those states received over the 1993 to 2016 time period are in parentheses):
  • Florida ($156.1 billion)
  • Texas ($47 billion)
  • Nevada ($24.3 billion)
  • Washington ($18.8 billion)
  • Tennessee ($14.3 billion)
  • New Hampshire ($4.0 billion)
  • Wyoming ($2.3 billion)
  • South Dakota ($989.0 million)
Note: Alaska also has no state income tax on residents but for whatever reason Alaska was not included in the analysis from the website.

So all of the states in the continental United States that have no state income tax saw a gain in their adjusted gross income over time and some cases, e.g. Florida and Texas, those increases were huge. The states with the highest state tax burdens include all of the states listed above who lost adjusted gross income over time, e.g. New York, New Jersey, Illinois, etc. Thus, we have a pretty strong relationship that says those states with the highest taxation levels are the states that are losing wealth, and residents, fastest. People want to be free.

Even states that have some form of state income tax did quite well in this wealth migration. North Carolina for example, is not on the list of states with no state income tax but they picked up over $12 billion in adjusted gross income from just three states, California, New York and New Jersey, from 1993 to 2016. The top state income tax rate in North Carolina is 5.25% compared to a whopping 13.3% in California, 10.75% in New Jersey, and 8.82% in New York. People want to be free.

This correlation gets even stronger when you get down to the county levels, especially if you look at counties that include a major metro area. The reasons for this is that very often local cities impose additional taxes on their residents, on top of the extra state taxes. 

For example, Cook County in Illinois, home of Chicago, lost an incredible $40.6 billion in adjusted gross income from 1993 to 2016. $40.6 billion! Imagine how much more financially solvent Chicago would be if it still had that $40.6 billion within the city limits and county. In fact, Chicago accounted for about 80% of the adjusted gross income that has left the entire state of Illinois over the period studied. And yet, Chicago politicians, and their peers in the Illinois state government, continue to raise taxes, causing more migration, a smaller tax base which requires higher tax rates which leads to more migration, and the death spiral is in full gear.

Los Angeles County, home of Los Angeles, is in a similar fix. It lost $46.1 billion over time, almost 80% of what the entire state of California lost. Suffolk County in Massachusetts, home of the city of Boston, lost $6.2 billion, over one third of what the entire state of Massachusetts lost. New York City lost about $70 billion, about 70% of what the entire state of New York lost.

Like I said up front, a lot of numbers. But also a lot of lessons and conclusions:
  • States with lower taxation rates appear to be getting much richer as a result of residents from high taxation states moving to the lower taxation states, taking their wealth and tax money with them.
  • This reality is even worse when you consider the counties in the high taxation states that are home to big cities where the taxation level is increased by local taxes being piled on.
  • It is human nature to want to keep what you earn, a reality that is lost on politicians that are in charge of states like New York, New Jersey, etc. where their view is higher taxation levels will solve their problems.
  • And it is clear from these numbers that the states we thought were leading the way to state government bankruptcy are still correct: Illinois, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, and California.
People want to be free and that includes having economic freedom to retain as much of their hard earned wages as possible. As a resident of Florida, I am thankful that the high taxation states have driven over $150 billion of adjusted gross income to my now home state, that kind of wealth increase makes life much easier for us down here the sunshine. So keep it up, politicians in Illinois, New Jersey, etc., we welcome your former residents and the economic power they bring with them.

P.S. We still stand by our on the previous forecast that Illinois will be the first state to go bankrupt, they are in a financial death spiral already and their ignorance continues to lead them to continually increase taxation levels and rates. The adjusted gross income levels do not lie.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:


http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w



Wednesday, September 18, 2019

September, 2019, The Horrors and Destruction of The Trump Administration: Lower Unemployment, Higher Approval Ratings, Fewer on Food Stamps and More

Before we start today’s discussion, let’s review my voting history: 
  • I have never voted for a Republican for President in my life.
  • Thus, I did not vote for Trump. 
  • I have rarely voted for a Republican for national office in my life. 
Over two years ago, many liberals, Democrats, and millennials were besides themselves with grief and fear because their pre-ordained queen, Hillary Clinton, was not elected President. Instead, Donald Trump was elected, an individual that these same people despised, hated, and feared, an individual they felt would endanger and possibly destroy the country and our democracy. For the past two years they have fretted, worried and lashed out at anything or anyone that even remotely smelled of Donald Trump.

Over the past two and a half years, I thought, that as someone who did not vote for him, it would be a good idea to review the horror, trauma, and terrible things that Trump has subjected the country to in just two year’s time. This is obviously a very sarcastic comment when you take an unbiased look at what has happened during the Trump Presidency.

The many previous posts we did on this topic identified over hundreds of good things that have happened to America and Americans since Trump became President. To review these hundreds of positive impacts his Presidency has brought about, just type in “horrors and destruction” in the search box above or page through the previous months’ posts from the calendar list on the right side of this screen.

It is has been a little while since we reviewed the latest positive developments from Trump so it is time to review what has been going on lately:

- The latest poll results of Rasmussen Reports, a very reputable and independent polling organization, found that 50% of likely voters approve of Trump’s job.

- While 49% disapprove of Trump’s job performance, Trump’s current results are better than Obama’s at the same time in each Presidential term since Obama’s job approval rating was 46% while his disapproval rate was 53%, four points worse than Trump’s disapproval rating.

- Average household income is up 13% over the past four years, from $56,000 to $63,000, most of which I bet has come in the last two years, the beginning of Trump’s term, since household income was stagnant for the vast majority of Obama’s terms in office.

- Since Trump took office, the economy has improved so much that 6.3 million Americans have gotten off of the SNAP food stamp program.

- In a recent month, the U.S. became the largest oil exporter in the world, a concept that was once thought impossible, and a result that enables the U.S. to avoid more drastic downturns in oil availability and the related economic distress while providing the beginning of some air cover to disengage from the disaster that is the Middle East.

- The Trump administration is gearing up efforts to possibly and finally address the homelessness crisis in major western cities such as Los Angeles, having held talks with local organizations to fix what local Democrats could not fix over the years.

- The U.S Department of Labor recently reported that U.S. payrolls grew for the month of July by 164,000 new jobs, setting a new record for consecutive months of job growth.

- Overall unemployment remains at a decades low 3.7%, something else that was once thought to be impossible.

- Average wages were up 3.2% vs. last year at this time.

- The U.S. labor force is also at an all time high at 163.4 million Americans employed.

- Trump donated his second quarter Presidential salary to the Surgeon General organization to fund a public health advisory.

- The niece of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr., Dr. Alveda King recently pushed back against those who are labeling President Trump as a racist and a white supremacist: "President Trump is not a racist. I've had the experience of going head to head with genuine racists...President Trump has said 'we all bleed the same,' he's very clear on that and he has done so much for all Americans including African-Americans.”

For those of you that have hated on Trump since day one, and given your obvious gross error in judgment relative to Trump, let me ask that you do us all a favor by implementing the following changes in your behavior and attitude:
  • Chill out, tamp down your TDS affliction. No matter how much you hate Trump on a sexist, personal basis, get over it. He is the legally and duly elected President, he will be around for a while so refocus your hatred on more constructive issues and matters. You will live a lot longer if you take your hatred out of your heart and soul and devote it to something positive.
  • I would really appreciate it if some of you would apologize to the Trump voters you have disrespected in some of the grossest terms possible over the past year. You have called millions of voters racists, ignorant, stupid, Nazis, KKK members, and other horrible names simply because you disagreed with their voting choice. No American should be called such disgusting names simply because they exercised their Constitutional rights to the best of their abilities. Plus, slandering over 60 million Americans is no way to unite the country and get it focused on the real issues facing us all.
  • More personally, I would like, no I am demanding, an apology from some of you for your slanderous and disgusting name calling because in doing so, you insulted and disrespected my sister, my family members, my friends, and my co-workers who simply voted their conscience. I will defend their right to vote anyway they wanted and will no put up with your childish and vicious venom and bile directed at them, very important people in my life.
  • And finally, I challenge you to read the following blog post, a post that shows quite clearly that it was hateful people like some of you and your silence during the Obama years that actually caused Trump to be elected. Thus, the people you hate for voting for Trump are actually looking back at you in the mirror:

If you were silent in the dozens of instances listed in these posts then you were responsible for the very thing you hate: a Trump Presidency. Or put another way, a so far successful and productive Trump Presidency. Hundreds of accomplishments in a little more than two year and a half years is not too shabby despite many of you wanting both Trump and the country to fail.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:


http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w