Showing posts with label ipsos. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ipsos. Show all posts

Wednesday, August 23, 2023

August, 2023, By The Numbers, Part 3: More death and Maiming In Chicago, More Fentanyl Flooding Over the Border, More Defunding The Police Fallout, and More Economic Hardship

  On a periodic basis we do some posts that fall under the theme of “by the numbers.” Rather than trust what the American political class tells us about reality, we like to examine the real numbers and the real reality in the world to understand what is actually going on. Relying on politicians, and their cohorts in the media, to tell us what is reality is always a sucker bet. They have their own agendas and goals, usually centering around their needs and self-enrichment. So we need to look at the reality of the numbers to determine what is really going on.

Previous analyses of “by the numbers” can be accessed by entering the phrase in the search box above. We look at the numbers to truly find out how good, not likely, or bad, most likely, the American political class is doing in managing our tax dollars, protecting our freedoms, and resolving major issues that affect all of us.


1)Unfortunately, far too often we have had to discuss the reality that is the failure of Chicago politicians: the very, very basic government function of protecting the lives and property of the citizens of Chicago. It seems every weekend in the city that dozens and dozens of people are shot, many die from their wounds, and the local politicians have no idea how to stem the violence despite stringent gun control laws.


The latest crime numbers bear out this reality:


  • Since the new mayor took office in May, crime increased 38% within a month.

  • Year to date, robberies are up 17%.

  • Over the past three years, crime is up 30%.

  • In a recent weekend we reported that 23 citizens had been shot and three had died, in a single weekend, not a single week, not a single month.


And in an insane reaction to the crime and these numbers, city Alderwoman, Maria Hadden, came up with this brilliant idea: in a recent email newsletter she proposed that gang members not shoot anyone between 9:00 am and 9:00 pm. Seriously, are you kidding me? This is the best that the city political class can come up with? So sad.


2) The law enforcement and crime situation is not much better out in  Los Angeles:


  • Remember that Los Angeles politicians were big adiovates of slashing police budgets and capabilities and bad mouthing law enforcement officers any chance that had.

  • As a result, the current size of the LA police department is less than 9,000 officers.

  • This is the smallest the force has been since the 1990s, about 30 years ago.

  • The Los Angeles  Police Protective League attributes this decline in size to a number of factors including anti-police sentiment, according to their spokesperson, Tom Saggau: "They're leaving to either go work in a different agency or just to leave the profession completely ... Los Angeles costs a lot to afford a home, pay rent, commute times; but also, some of the anti-police rhetoric wears on you. We have a difficulty because we're pulling officers from specialized gang assignments and high-crime areas and drug operations because you've got to fill patrol to be able to respond to those 911 calls, so this lack of officers has a trickle-down effect, and it's a city-wide impact." 

  • The city wants a force of 9,500 law enforcement officers and thus, is at least 500 officers short of what is needed.

  • Given that there are currently only 29 recruits going through police training, the situation is not likely to improve anytime soon.


Just another example  of how stupid and  ill thought out the concept of “defund the police” was. Fewer officers means higher crime, not a hard concept.

3)Biden has failed the  country is so many ways: horrid and fatal withdrawal from  Afghanistan, decades high inflation, a non-existent foreign policy which has emboldened our enemies and endangered our citizens, soaring Federal government deficits, no plan to fix any of the major broken government programs, e.g. Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, sending over $100 billion of taxpayer wealth into the money pit that is the Ukraine/Russia war, etc.

But quite possibly his worst failure concerns the reality that he has opened up our southern border to millions of unvetted, unvaccinated, and unknown illegal  immigrants. And a very serious side effect of his failed border policy, an effect that will  likely result in the incremental deaths of American citizens, is the tsunami flood of illegal drugs that Mexican and other drug cartels are funneling across the border.

The numbers are terrifying:

  • Federal officials recently announced that in April, 2023, they had the highest level of fentanyl seizures EVER.

  • So far in 2023 they have seized more fentanyl  than they seized in all of last year.

  • This year they have already intercepted 17,400 pounds of fentanyl vs.14,700 pounds in all of 2021 and 4,900 in 2020.

  • Thus, the amount of fentanyl has increased over three fold in just two years.

  • That 17,400 pounds is about 8.7 TONS.

  • In 2013, the government seized 2 pounds of fentanyl.

  • According to the CDC, overdose death attributed to fentanyl increased by 24% in 2021, the first year of Biden’s Presidency and will probably go much higher as additional years’ results are totalled.

  • Over 100,000 Americans died from drug overdoses in 2021 (the last year data is available) and two thirds of those deaths were from fentanyl.

  • But it is not just fentanyl that is flowing over the border because of Biden’s horrific border policies since Mexican law enforcement authorities recently intercepted over 39 tons of cocaine in Baja, Mexico that was obviously headed for our country.

Keep in mind this reality: the 17,400 pounds of fentanyl that has been intercepted  at the border, the 39 tons of cocaine that  were intercepted in Mexico headed for our country is only what authorities have found. No one knows how many more tons of fentanyl and cocaine made it into the country without being found and is now being ingested by drug addicts across the country, many of which will not survive their addiction thanks to cheap and plentiful illegal drugs resulting from Biden’s failed border policies.


4)Recent polls show how much Americans are not happy with Biden’s performance when it comes to economic policy:


  • Over one third of those polled, 35%, say they are falling behind financially in Biden’s inflationary economy.

  • Only 13% say they are “getting ahead.”

  • Only 29% of those polled say the economy is in “good shape.”

  • In another poll conducted by IPSOS, 1 in 5 Americans do not believe they will ever be able to retire because they cannot afford to retire.

  • Fully 1 in 3 of those polled who are over 65 do not believe they will ever be able to retire because of economic conditions.


Amazingly bad economic numbers: high inflation leads to Americans falling behind economically today with many Americans believing that retirement is out of reach for them and they will not be able to retire in their golden years because of today’s economic problems. Not quite the American dream.


The failure of the American political class continues: soaring crime, declining police forces, soaring drug importation, and declining quality of life, the numbers don't lie.


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Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Will The Center Hold, October, 2014 Update, Part 1: Telling Obama Care, School Lunches, and Statehoold To Hit the Road

Every month or so we revisit the theme and interesting question of whether or not “the center will hold?” In other words, given the rebellion and push back that state and local governments along with individual citizens have been giving to Federal government dictates and laws, do we get to at point in this country where the Washington political class and machine issue a law or edict and the rest of the country simply ignores it?

It certainly seems like we have never seen so much objection and hostility to Washington. As Washington and its politicians overreach and over demand relative to Constitutional limitations, the rest of the country has pushed back on a number of major issues:

  • Obama Care
  • Medicaid Expansion
  • Gun Control
  • Common Core
  • Spying on Citizens
These are just a few of the various issues that have the rest of the country looking for ways to escape out from under Federal mandates and laws. To see past examples of how extensive this push back has become, enter the search term “will the center hold” in the search box above.

Let’s take an inventory of the latest rebellious acts underway around the country:

1) We have often cited opinion poll numbers that show the country’s citizens regards for Congressional politicians is at a historic low and the approval rating for the Obama administration has been steadily dropping over the past year or so. 

Thus, it should come as no surprise when a recent Reuters news report cited a reputable polling organizations finding that about 25% of the nation’s citizens supporting the concept of their state seceding from the union. Details of the poll include the following:

  • The Reuters/Ipsos poll was conducted from August 23 through September 16.
  • 23.9% of those polled said they either strongly supported or tended to support the idea of their state breaking away.
  • 53.3% of almost 9,000 respondents strongly opposed or tended to oppose the notion.
  • The desire to get out from under Washington generally cut across party lines and regions, though Republicans and residents of rural Western states are generally warmer to the idea than Democrats and Northeasterners with more than a third of Western area poll respondents supporting the concept.
  • The poll found anger with Obama's handling of issues ranging from healthcare reform to the rise of Islamic State militants driving some of the feeling along with the childish and long term Washington gridlock also being a major driver of the 23.9%: "I don't think it makes a whole lot of difference anymore which political party is running things. Nothing gets done," said Roy Gustafson, 61, of Camden, South Carolina, who lives on disability payments. "The state would be better off handling things on its own."
  • From North Carolina: "That [Obama care] has really hurt a lot of people here, myself included. My insurance went from $40 a week for a family of four up to over $600 a month for a family of four," said Brittany Royal. "The North Carolina government itself is sustainable. Governor (Pat) McCrory, I think he has a better healthcare plan than President Obama."
  • From Texas: "Texas has everything we need. We have the manufacturing, we have the oil, and we don't need them," said Mark Denny, a 59-year-old retiree living outside of Dallas.
  • As the national debt gets more and more out of control due to wasteful Washington spending, as economic conditions continue to languish at historical lows, as no major issues ever get resolved by Washington, at what point does the center not hold and we go from 23.9% to a majority of Americans saying enough is enough, we want to go it alone. 
When does the majority conclude that it could not get any worse under a different course, a course that we are more likely control vs. dictates from far away that suppress freedom and economic vitality? Will the center hold?

2) An issue that we have not discussed much at all in this series but one that is growing in aggravation and agitation is the imposition of new school food guidelines by the Federal government, an imposition and legislation that is supposedly driven by First Lady Michelle Obama. 

Let me say upfront, that healthier eating habits should be a national priority. The country and many, many of its kids are overweight or obese, leading to higher incidences of ill health and higher health care costs to treat the obesity problem. This is a public health care crisis that should be addressed by a public health care initiative to instill healthy eating habits in American families over time.

Having said that, the wrong way to do it is to have the Washington political class pass and enact a law that mandates instant changes in the way the country eats. Just because a Washington bureaucrat dictates that a kid in a far away state can only consume so much fat, salt, and sugar at their school’s lunch table does not mean it is going to happen.

And it is not happening. School districts across the country are rebelling against this new Washington dictate and dumping the guidelines that the law put forth. The schools are finding that kids are not eating what Washington wants them to eat, resulting in millions of dollars in food being scrapped every day, kids not getting enough nourishment at lunch, and school districts running into serious financial troubles since the revenue from selling school lunches is way down.

The situation has gotten so bad that a recent article by Victor Skinner, writing for the Education Action Group, showed that schools in Missouri and Alabama have already bowed out of the Federal school lunch program despite losing Federal dollars to stay in it. The article found that: “Those schools and numerous others across the country are ditching the federal regulations and the funding that comes with them to save their cafeteria programs, which have experienced a nose-dive in sales and skyrocketing waste since the new rules were implemented in 2012.”

A large high school in Missouri, Norte Dame High School, saw lunch participation rate drop by half. They turned to local restaurants to provide healthy food that actually tasted good, as opposed to the healthy but badly tasting Federally mandate food to make sure kids actually ate lunch.

Saxony Lutheran High school also did the same thing: “We want to make sure we’re serving a well-rounded, healthy, balanced meal,” Saxony principal Mark Ruark told SEMissourian.com. “We don’t think the current federal guidelines give kids enough calories to sustain (them), especially those in extracurricular activities. Kids will not eat what doesn’t taste good.”

At Cleburne County Schools in Alabama, lunch participation dropped by 29 percent under Michelle Obama’s and Washington’s edicts. A local mom, Maria Gilbert, is quoted in the article saying that her children will no longer eat school food. Her 11th grader says it’s “nasty” and has opted to bring microwave food from home. at least until the school removed the appliance from the cafeteria. Gilbert said she’s often forced to find a quick meal for her famished kids after school, AnnisonStar.com reports. 

In Ohio, it’s the same problem: “We are seeing a trend where meal counts are going down just because students aren’t accepting all the changes that are taking place,” Ohio School Nutrition Association member Jeni Lange told ABC.

A National School Nutrition Association survey found food waste is up in 81.2 percent of schools nationwide, and a study by Cornell and Brigham Young universities estimates the waste at $4 million per day. Students in Los Angeles schools alone are throwing away $100,000 in food per day, ABC reports.

In a Vermont school district, school employees devised a plan to “repurpose” their lunch waste as feed for about 3,000 hogs at a local pig farm. In Medina, Ohio, volunteer parent Marcie Henning is taking advantage of the massive waste in her district to feed the homeless and less fortunate.

You get the idea. Again, Washington never understood the root causes of a problem, the need to educate parents, families and kids about the need to eat better under a public health approach. Instead, Washington tried to fix a problem they did not understand and the unforeseen consequences by dictating a top down solution that, like Obama Care, has no chance of working.

As result, kids are eating less and going hungry, school district financials and revenues are being devastated, and the country’s unhealthy food chain is unchanged. When we see our kids going hungry and our tax dollars being fed to hogs, how long will the center hold?

3) One more quickie for today, we will conclude this update to our "will the center hold” series tomorrow. The Washington Examiner recently did a piece on this concept and how the relationship between the Washington elite and bureaucrats and the rest of the country has probably never gotten this dicey. 

The article points to Obama Care as one of many drivers in this resistance to Washington. It cites the reality that 36 states said no to the Obama administration relative to setting up Obama Care health insurance exchanges, forcing the Federal government to do it by itself in those three dozen states. Another 20 or so states decided not to expand Medicaid within their borders as they were allowed to do under Obama Care.

I could be wrong, but from my history classes I do not remember any state that said they were not going to participate in Social Security or Medicare or any other major Federal initiative. This recent resistance seems to be a new phenomena. And according to
Merrill Matthews of the Institute for Policy Innovation, a Texas public policy think tank, it seems I am correct: “This is the biggest push back that I’ve seen in my lifetime, even more so than, I think, you had in the Civil Rights era. There’s this growing sense out there, that there are areas that are the purview of states, and the states ought to be allowed to do that.”

So I am not alone in wondering if the center will hold. From Obama Care to secession to something as simple as school lunches, the center in Washington is dictating and the rest of the country is saying hold up or something worse. More rebellion and resistance tomorrow as we try to figure out "if the center will hold."


Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

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Please visit the following sites for freedom:

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