I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science, Part 4

I had thought that we could do an update to our continuing series, “I am a global warming doubter and a believer in science,” in just three posts. However, since we have started writing the three posts, additional information and scientific and reality proof has been sent to us to confirm that there is a large mountain of scientific data and research to validate a global doubter’s position.

Thus, in addition to the three previous posts, we needed this bonus post to update all of the current information that has come to our attention that global warming doubting is a valid scientific position and opinion.

1) Yesterday, we discussed the reality that even if Obama and the global warming alarmists shut down a few U.S. coal burning plants, or take other actions to combat global warming, their actions will be mostly in vain. Why? The rest of the world is using carbon intensive coal in greater and greater volumes to support their growing economies.

Consider a recent Wall Street Journal article that was summarized in the January 17, 2014 issue of The Week magazine. The article reviewed an analysis by the consulting firm of Wood Mackenzie which found that coal is expected to overtake oil as the world’s dominant fuel source in six short years.

Their research estimated that two thirds of the growth in coal usage would be driven solely by surging coal demand of Chinese coal powered electricity plants. Confirming via another example, that unless the President can step up and lead the entire world to reduce its coal carbon footprint, anything the U.S. does will only damage our economy without addressing the global warming issue, assuming it is a reality.

2) But it is not just China that is driving the growing and growing usage of coal to create electricity. An article from a recent Business Week issue, “Europe Embraces Dirty Coal - Again,” reviewed the reality that Europe is turning to cheap, dirty coal to meets its energy and electricity needs. Details from the article include:

• The decline in the use of lignite coal, after decreasing by about 40% over the past 20 years or so is expected to start growing again.
• The article describes lignite coal as a moist brown coal that is plentiful and cheap but stores less energy and emits more greenhouse gases than hard coal.
• Poland gets about 90% of its energy from lignite coal and is expected to increase the amount it uses in the coming years.
• European lignite usage increased 3.7% in 2013 while hard coal usage there fell 7%.
• A major Czech power company expects to increase its use of lignite coal, that it gets from its own mines, by 6% in 2014.
• In Germany, lignite coal accounts for 26% of the power production in the country.
• If a current lignite coal mine near Proschim, Germany is allowed to expand, it would provide access to an estimated 204 million tons of lignite that could be mined until the 2040s.

Thus, lignite coal in Europe is cheap, inexpensive, supports tens of thousands of jobs, is a local energy source, and its usage is increasing. What are the odds that the European countries will give up all the advantages of this dirty type of coal to support a global warming theory that has serious holes in it?

Furthermore, given how much the Obama administration has ticked off many European countries and their leaders in so many ways, e.g. massive NSA spying activities, what is the chance that he would have any luck in foreign alliances so that the entire world acts as one regarding carbon emissions? Answer: very little.

3) A February 11, 2014 article by the Daily Caller discussed the work and analyses of former NASA scientist Dr. Roy Spencer. He found that climate forecasting models used by government agencies to create policies “have failed miserably” to accurately predict climate behavior over the past two decades, almost always severely underestimating what the earth’s temperature would be in the future.

He analyzed 90 climate models against surface temperature and satellite temperature data, finding that more than 95 percent of the models “have over-forecast the warming trend since 1979, whether we use their own surface temperature dataset (HadCRUT4), or our satellite dataset of lower tropospheric temperatures (UAH).”

His conclusion

“I am growing weary of the variety of emotional, misleading, and policy-useless statements like ‘most warming since the 1950s is human caused’ or ‘97% of climate scientists agree humans are contributing to warming’, neither of which leads to the conclusion we need to substantially increase energy prices and freeze and starve more poor people to death for the greater good. Yet, that is the direction we are heading.”

As we have said before, these are not global warming doubters’ forecasts, these are the actual results of global warming advocates’ forecasting, forecasting that has failed miserably to explain their theories.

4) In a December 9, 2014 article, the Associated Press reported that

a NASA satellite data had shown that Earth set a new record for coldest temperature ever recorded in August 2010 when it hit 135.8 degrees. Then on July 31, 2013, it came close again: 135.3 degrees. Just saying. I know, one data point does not prove or disprove a climate theory…but it does not help establish the theory by any stretch of the imagination.

5) Before getting into this next point remember that we currently have a President whose promise that “if you like your current health insurance plan you can keep it” was named by the Washington post as the top lie of the year in 2013. In addition, this President also placed two other lies in the Washington Post’s top ten list.

According to Senator Jim Inhofe, speaking in front of a recent Senate Environment and Public Works committee, the President has continued to put other false claims, these two about climate change:

“Both statements are false,” Sen. Inhofe said of Obama’s global warming claims, since neither the EPA nor the U.N. IPCC climate group could provide any supporting statistics.

“On multiple occasions, and most recently on May 30th of last year, President Obama has said, and this is a quote he has used several times, he said that ‘the temperature around the globe is increasing faster than was predicted even ten years ago’ and that ‘the climate is warming faster than anybody anticipated five or ten years ago.’

“Both statements are false, and through letters to you, Ms. McCarthy, and on the record in this Committee, we’ve asked the EPA to provide us with the data backing up these two statements, the two statements made by the president, but they don’t have any data and referred us to the UN IPCC. And, their scientists, apparently, the EPA thought they were the source of this.

“Well, we went there and they had nothing to back it up, so apparently the president just made that up."

He either made them up or is grossly informed of reality. We have covered the reality many times in this series that global warming leveled off to a constant state about 17 years ago according to every measure, disproving almost every single global warming forecast. To assert that the temperature around the globe is increasing faster than we expected is so very far from the truth. Makes you wonder if he is already positioning himself to take the top slot again in 2014 from the next Washington Post lie of the year award.

6) In 2008, polar bears were placed on the endangered species list solely because of the perceived threat of global warming. On global warming advocating scientist forecasted that their numbers would be reduced by 2050. Al Gore and other advocates for global warming evoked tender pictures of distraught polar bears.

Unfortunately, for the advocates, it does not appear that the polar bears are cooperating with the forecasts, according to a recent article in the UK‘s Daily Mail. According to research, analysis and a report done by Lakehead University in Ontario, Canada, in only one out of 13 regions up north has there been a decline in the polar bear population. In some areas, there has been a substantial increase in the population:

• In the Foxe Basin area in the Arctic Circle, aerial surveys show polar bear numbers have risen from 2,200 in 1994 to 2,580 in 2010.
• The polar bear population in West Hudson Bay has increased from 935 in 2004 to 1,013 in 2011.
• In Kaktovik, Alaska the population is also growing.
• According to the article, the WWF cites estimates of 20,000 to 25,000 polar bears living in Canada, Greenland, the northern Russian coast, islands off the Norwegian coast, and the north-west Alaskan coast.
• On Barter Island there were only 18 bears estimated to be there in 2010 but there were a record 80 bears recorded last year.
• The rise in polar bear numbers is bringing in tourists who are trying to catch a glimpse of them.
• Some lcoals questioned for the article felt that the bear population has never been larger while other locals disagree and think global warming is a factor.
• However, Dr Susan Crockford, an evolutionary biologist and expert on polar bears, published a paper called Ten Good Reasons Not To Worry About Polar Bears earlier this year.
• And population forecasting expert Dr J Scott Armstrong agrees: ‘The decision by the US Senate in 2008 to name the polar bear as an endangered species because of global warming was based on flawed information.

Making predictions fifty years out on the polar bear population may get you headlines but it is next to impossible to check the accuracy of your prediction for about the next 36 years. This article and the research it covers and the experts it quotes, point to a polar bear population that is stable for the moment. They are thriving in an area that has not seen temperatures rise in about 17 years, in an area where the ice caps are growing, not shrinking, and increasing, not decreasing their populations.

That will do it for now. As I have said many times I am not a climate scientists. But neither is Barack Obama, Al Gore, or most of the other screaming global warming/climate change advocates that would rather scream and drown out the science and realities that doubters bring to the argument. I think that we have proven over this series of posts over the past years that there is great validity in being a global warming doubter and a believer in science.

Until they stop screaming, shouting, deceiving, and belittling, we all are not going to reach any consensus that makes sense and covers all of the potential downsides of the theory, a theory that appears to be freezing up as time goes by.

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