Contrary to what Mr. Gore might claim, the science as it relates to global warming, or its rebranded marketing campaign, “climate change,” is not settled. Over the past few years we have exposed and discussed valid and proven scientific research efforts that cast doubt or are in direct contrary positions to what Gore claims to be “settled.” He cannot acknowledge that his position could be scientifically wrong, an easy thing to do when you ignore what you do not want to see.
All of our past posts on scientific rebuttals of global warming can be accessed by typing in “I am a global warming doubter and a believer in science” in the search box above. The first post in this update series can be accessed at:
1) We start today with another list of global warming fallacies. In two previous posts we looked at how wrong the environmentalists and climatologists were in their 1970 Earth Day predictions. We also listed the realities of what the weather and climate have been for the past few decades, realities that were in stark contrast to the wrongful predictions of people like Al Gore.
Today’s list of global warming fails comes from a recent web post on the Heritage Foundation website. The article is written by Mr. Stephen Moore and according to Heritage, the piece originally appeared in the Orange County Register. The article was entitled, “Obama Channels Jimmy Carter on Climate Change” and started with a review of how wrong President Jimmy Carter was back in the late 1970s when he tried to predict environmental change:
It was 34 years ago that Carter issued his own primal scream, called “The Global 2000 Report,” about the coming mass starvation from food shortages, the planet running out of oil and drinking water, overpopulation and other horrors. It was all bunk and contradicted by the subsequent real-world events, but now Obama is adopting the role of fearmonger in chief.
Mr. Moore points out that President Obama, in his fear mongering, fails to mention that the famous, or infamous, climate change forecast models have all been woefully inaccurate in their projections of climate and warming. How wrong? Consider the following FACTS, not forecast model predictions, as researched and presented in the article:
- The global warming fiasco we were supposed to have experienced already has never occurred despite China, India, and Mexico and many other nations having created record amounts of carbon and other greenhouse gases which ended up in the atmosphere.
- The last 10 years have been cooler on Earth than the 1930s, long before so much carbon was thrown off into the air around the world.
- The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) says, “There has been little trend in the frequency of the stronger tornadoes over the past 55 years.”
- NOAA’s U.S. Climate Extremes Index of unusually hot or cold temperatures finds that over the last 10 years, five years have been below the historical mean and five above the mean.
- While higher than average portions of the country were subjected to extreme drought/moisture in the past few years, the 1930s, 40s and 50s were more extreme in this regard. In fact, over the last 10 years, four years have been below the average and six above the average.
- Government statistics and academic research show that hurricane activity is actually at historic lows. According to the National Hurricane Center, in 2013, “There were no major hurricanes in the North Atlantic Basin for the first time since 1994. And the number of hurricanes this year was the lowest since 1982.”
- And there is still more good news: The eastern Pacific Ocean had only one major hurricane in 2013. Only 1968 – which had no major hurricanes in either the Atlantic Basin or eastern Pacific – was more calm in the regard.
- According to Ryan Maue at Weather Bell Analytics, “We are currently in the longest period since the Civil War Era without a major hurricane strike in the U.S. (i.e., category 3, 4 or 5). The last major hurricane to strike the U.S. was Hurricane Wilma during late October of that record-breaking year of 2005.”
- Maue also reports that “the global frequency of tropical cyclones has reached a historical low.”
- Roger Pielke Jr., past chairman of the American Meteorological Society Committee on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, reports that “floods have not increased in the U.S. in frequency or intensity since at least 1950. Flood losses as a percentage of U.S. GDP have dropped by about 75 percent since 1940.“
- Pielke concludes, “There is no evidence that disasters are getting worse because of climate change. … It is misleading, and just plain incorrect, to claim that disasters associated with hurricanes, tornadoes, floods or droughts have increased on climate time scales either in the United States or globally.”
- One of the best measures of extreme weather events is losses to insurance companies, which protect against catastrophic losses.
- Worldwide, weather-related insurance losses have actually decreased by about 25% since 1960.
- More than 100 years ago, some statisticians looked at the rising level of the Nile River and extrapolated that the entire Middle East would be underwater by now. Has not happened yet.
The article concludes with this insightful observation that is sure to send Al Gore over the edge:
Liberals wonder why the nation is filled with so many global warming skeptics. It is because of shoddy research like this that seems designed to scare the American people into surrendering more of their freedoms and reducing their standard of living. Here’s some good news: we don’t have to.
2) Lying by politicians has always been a staple in their marketing arsenal but recent politicians have taken the art and deception of lying to all new heights. President Obama himself landed three lies in the Washington Post’s “Top Ten Lies of 2013,” including the top lie of all, if you like your health insurance policy you can keep it under Obama Care. Thus, whenever a politician speaks we should always be on guard with a liar filter in place.
Which is what was needed recently when Governor Jerry Brown of California spoke in the context of the state’s budgeting process. According to the Governor, he claimed that some scientists are claiming that in the next hundred years, the seas could rise up to four feet higher which would put the main Los Angeles and San Francisco airports under sea water:
If that happens, the Los Angeles airport’s going to be underwater. So is the San Francisco airport. You’re going to have to move all that … That’s billions, if not tens of billions. Luckily, we can take a few years.
Wow, doomsday, dire type stuff. We need to get moving, the governor has to be telling the truth, he’s the governor for Pete’s sake. Let’s start moving those runways today.
Uh, not so fast. Within 24 hours, an official retraction was issued for the LA airport. Seems the governor did not bother to check and find out that the LA airport is located more than one hundred feet above sea level so even if a four foot increase in the seas does occur in a hundred years, it would still be at least 96 feet below the LA Airport.
Which raises an interesting point. Was the governor just being ignorant of facts and reality when he spoke out as an alarmist on the LA Airport and global warming or was he intentionally being deceptive, hoping that no one was smart enough to fact check his claims? Whatever the reality, this is why we must not knee jerk to what politicians like Brown, Gore, Obama, and Carter say, they have been wrong so many times in the past, either intentionally or ignorantly, what they say always has to be checked against science and reality.
3) One of the heart wrenching, and incorrect assertions by global warming advocates has long been the vision of the polar bear species going extinct as it loses its natural habitat at the North Pole which, according to many global warming forecasts, should have melted away by now. Nice marketing but poor forecasting since we have cited any number of sources in previous posts which show that the ice caps at both poles are increasing, not decreasing, leaving the bears safe at least for the foreseeable future.
However, it appears that the bear population is actually in danger, not from global warming but from too much ice at the pole. Currnelty, the ice cap up north is about 16 feet thick and that is threatening the survival of polar bears in the Southern Beaufort Sea region along Alaska’s Arctic coast, according to Dr. Susan J. Crockford, an evolutionary biologist in British Columbia who has studied polar bears for most of her 35-year career.
Why? There is a danger that the thick ice could prevent ringed seals, a staple in polar bears diets, from creating breathing holes in the ice that they need to survive. No seals, no food for the bears: “Prompted by reports of the heaviest sea ice conditions on the East Coast ‘in decades’ and news that ice on the Great Lakes is, for mid-April, the worst it’s been since records began, I took a close look at the ice thickness charts for the Arctic,” Crockford noted in her Polar Bear Science blog on April 18th. “Sea ice charts aren’t a guarantee that this heavy spring ice phenomenon is developing in the Beaufort, but they could be a warning…[that doesn’t] bode well" for the Beaufort bears.
Who knew? The bears could well suffer because of too much ice, not the melting of ice that global warming advocates had forecasted.
Look, I do not know what is going on relative to the climate now and in the future but neither does Al Gore. In fact, I think that over several posts we have presented a very credible case that both global warming and climate change hysteria is just that, hysteria, based on the many scientific and reality facts and research we have pointed out.
Previously, we have proposed a common sense solution to the whole mess which was independent of who is right and who is wrong about man made global warming:
But as usual when it comes to politics and people who seek control over others, a common sense approach never has a good chance.
But for those of you that still think man made global warming is a reality, I ask you this: what are you going to do about it? Obama thinks he is doing great by closing down a few U.S. coal burning plants. But the following and latest facts from the U.S. Energy Information Administration easily shows how inane that action would be:
- From 2009 to 2040, the U.S. is expect to throw off a constant amount of carbon dioxide emissions every year, about 5.4 to 5.6 billion metric tons.
- However, India is expected to double its carbon dioxide emissions over the same time frame, going from 1.6 billions of metric tons to 3.3 by 2040.
- For comparison, the U.S. would have to reduce its emissions by a whopping 30% just to offset the growth in India’s emissions.
- Even worse, China is expected to also more than double its carbon emissions in the same time frame, going from 7.3 billion metric tons in 2009 to 14.9 billion metric tons by 2040.
- Thus, even if the U.S. reduced its carbon footprint to zero, the world would still see an annual net gain in global carbon emissions from just India and China of 3.7 billion metric tons by 2040.
Second option: use science and technology to find a way to reduce emissions from coal and other carbon spewing materials. Technology and science have done wonderful things to make life better for humans and the planet, why not focus on science to do the same in this area?
That is why I am still a believer in science, there is no other solution if man made global warming and climate change are a reality. It’s a shame that people like Al Gore do not see it the same way, i.e. science as an answer rather than a weapon and tool of fear.
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