Wednesday, July 23, 2014

July, 2014, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Beliver InScience, Part 3

We have been spending a few days going over a continuing theme in this blog, “I am a global warming doubter and a believer in science.” The justification for this series was the fact that I just got fed up being yelled at and called a whole slew of not nice names by people like Al Gore simply because I choose to look at the entire spectrum of global warming, and its rebranded them of climate change, rather than the rantings and ravings of people like Gore that look only at the science that supports their viewpoint and not at all science, both pro and con.

Rather than try to have an adult conversation, people like Al Gore have caused us doubters racists, homophobes, science illiterates, etc. We maintain that if you look at ALL of the climate science, you will see the fallacy and emptiness of Gore-like viewpoints and rantings. To do anything else would not be scientific, it would be scientific heresy.

To view the dozens of posts we have done in the past where we quote famous and credible scientists, cite credible and independent reports, and use logic to show that the global warming scare and climate change mania is probably just that, scare tactics and mania, put the following phrase, “I am a global warming doubter” in the search box above to get a complete list of previous related posts. If you are an Al Gore fan, a dare you to read all of the science put forth in these posts before you commence with the name calling again.

The first post in this update for our series can be accessed at:


Let’s see what new science evidence has come about since our last update to the theme, "I am a global warming doubter and a believer in science.”

1) Global warming advocates like Al Gore like to claim that current extreme weather, even though extreme weather has existed forever, is the result of manmade global warming and/or climate change. However, credible scientists have recently debunked that theory also by identifying and naming what they call the “North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre” of SPG.

I am not as smart as the scientists that developed this theory but from what I understand, the SPG is a primary factor which drives a variety of weather patterns from North America to Europe. The SPG is a set of processes that end up affecting the variability of the average sea surface temperature in an area extending in latitude from 50°N to 66°N and in longitude from 60°W to 10°W. 

It is this variability of the SPG that has been associated with precipitation and temperature patterns and variability across the U.S., Europe, and North Africa, as well as hurricane frequency in the Atlantic Ocean. The relationship between the SPG and hurricanes was originally published and discussed in 2001 in a prominent paper in Science magazine by a team of leading hurricane researchers including Stanley Goldenberg, Chris Landsea and William Gray. Sounds like real scientists to me.

Since these scientists estimated that the variability takes place over "multidecadal' timescales. In other words, this SPG process cycles through itself over decades and is probably a better predictor of hurricane activity and extreme weather than Al Gore’s global warming forecasting models. Scientists doing research and proving there is validity to a doubter’s view on global warming, who knew?

2) Let’s do a quick review of those Al Gore historic global warming forecast models, the models that predicted the earth would be much warmer today than it actually is and which failed to take into account the reality that the Earth stopped warming about 18 years ago:

















In both graphs, we can see that the global warming prediction models constantly and grossly overestimated what would happen to our climate, almost always overestimating the impact of mankind’s existence on the Earth’s temperatures. It is obvious that the models are worthless now that we know how poorly they predicted reality, a fact that should result in a discussion that looks at all science in order to develop better climate forecasting models, models that do not presuppose that global warming is a fact.

Consider what others are saying about this failure to predict: 
  • Roy Spencer, the principle research scientist at the University of Alabama: “The magnitude of global-average atmospheric warming between 1979 and 2012 is only about 50 percent that predicted by the climate models relied upon by the IPCC in their projections of global warming.” 
  • Also, according to Spencer, those models also fail to explain why global warming stopped increasing in the late 1990s.
  • Roger Pielke Jr. is a scientist who testified before Congress last July: “It is misleading, and just plain incorrect, to claim that disasters associated with hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, or droughts have increased on climate timescales either in the United States or globally.”
  • The U.N. Environment Program falsely predicted in 2005 that climate change would lead to 50 million refugees by 2010.
  • The U.N. climate experts also falsely claimed that Himalayan glaciers could melt by 2035 which also appears to be a wrong forecast also.
How often can the Al Gores of the world be flat out wrong before they lose all credibility?

3) Although the President seems desperate to prove to the world and history that he was a climate change warrior, stooping so low to call those with a solid alternative view to be the "radical fringe,” what do ordinary American citizens think about global warming and climate change from a priority perspective? Well, there is some reputable firms doing research on just that topic:
  • A Pew Research poll from January 2014 found: “The American public routinely ranks dealing with global warming low on its list of priorities for the president and Congress. This year, it ranked second to last among 20 issues tested.”
  • A March 2014 Gallup poll found: “Only 24 percent of Americans say they worry about [climate change] a great deal. This puts climate change, along with the quality of the environment, near the bottom of a list of 15 issues Americans rated in Gallup’s March 6–9 survey.”
  • A January 2014 Wall Street Journal/NBC poll found: “Addressing climate change was the lowest priority issue by far of the 13 domestic and foreign issues polled.”
  • Consider the United Nations’ “My World” survey, a survey of more than 2.36 million votes submitted to the survey from nearly every country and territory around the world. Individuals are presented with 16 issues and asked to select the six that “are most important for you and your family.” Dead last among the choices was “action taken on climate change.”
  • The UN study found that climate change was least important to individuals in the least developed countries. However, even individuals in higher-income countries, climate change consistently ranked in the bottom third.
Thus, this is not a grass roots movement, most of the world has bigger priorities and issues that they want dealt with, with climate change being one of the least important. Maybe the President should first start working on those more important and real issues (sluggish economic growth, deteriorating household wealth, long term chronic unemployment, a lost war on drugs, leaky borders, high health care costs, etc.) before dealing with a low priority issue that might actually be a non-issue.

That will do it for today. We will need at least one more day to cover the latest research, realities, and science that give great credence to our position that you can be a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.


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Please visit the following sites for freedom:

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http://www.robertringer.com/
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