August, 2017, Part 3, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of manmade global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:

• Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
• Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
• Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control of our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.

To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical posts listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims.

1) I used to work for a manager in a corporation who had a great saying: “nothing is more devastating to an opinion than the right number.” Every body has an opinion, but only opinions based on real numbers have any chance at being accurate. Such is the case when you look at the numbers on two graphs on the NASA website page dedicated to climate:

https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/sea-level/

As we discussed a few days ago, one of the lynch pins that must happen for global warming advocates to be right is that the seas and oceans around the world need to rise dramatically as the ice caps melt and the water in those seas and oceans gets ever higher. If that rise in the water levels is not dramatic than the entire globaL warming hysteria starts to look just like that, hysteria.

Such is the case with the two graphs from NASA on the website cited above and the what their numbers convey:

• The first graph charts the rise in sea levels from 1993 to the present.
• And at first blush, it appears that global warming advocates might be right, the sea levels have increased at a pretty steady pace over the past 24 years.
• But look closely at the graph and you will notice two things.
• First, you will see that while the levels are up, they are up only about 86 mm which, if I did the math right, is only about 3.4 inches, hardly enough to flood out New York City as was claimed might happen in a global warming piece decades ago.
• Also note that for the last couple of years there has been no increase in the sea levels. While a couple of years is not enough to say the trend has stopped or started to reverse, it is something to follow going forward.
• The second graph does the same tracking of sea levels but starts way back in 1870 until about 1993, the point where the first graph started.
• If global warming is a recent phenomenon because there are so many more people using so much more fossil based fuels than for most of the time period of 1870 to 1993, then that chart of sea levels should have been flat at least until the 1970s, when global warming theory took hold.
• But it is not flat, the sea levels have been rising at a steady rate for about 147 years, according to NASA, and were rising long before global warming should have been happening.

Now, one could make the case that sea levels have been rising since 1870 but man made global warming made them rise faster in the past 24 years vs. the previous 120 years or so. That is a valid logical point.

But let’s not try to claim that the entire 86 mm rise since 1993 is solely because of mankind’s use of carbon fuel sources, something Al Gore would likely try to do. Some, most, or all of that rise could be just a trend of nature that began back in 1870 and what has seen sea levels rise ever since.

2) The beauty of predicting the future is that often no one is still alive to see if your predictions came true. Unfortunately, that was not the case for climate change/global warming scientist James Hansen back in 1988, according to V. Saxena, writing for the Conservative Tribune website on July 17, 2017:

• When interviewed by Salon magazine back then in 1988, Hansen claimed that within a few decades that New York City’s West Side Highway would “be under water.”
• That windows in the city would have to be taped in order to resist the high winds of global warming.
• Bird populations would have changed and trees would have changed because of global warming.
• Crime rates would soar because of the high temperatures.

Bad prediction, Mr. Hansen, 30 years later the West Side Highway is still high and dry, bird and tree populations have not changed, and no one sees a need to tape their windows. Another global warming prediction that is completely wrong on all counts.

Unfortunately for Hansen, he outlived his predictions and is still alive to see how grossly wrong his predictions went. But I give him credit because he is still plugging away with a new set of global warming predictions. 

In a recent paper he published he now warns that if the U.S. continues to use fossil fuels, the world’s sea levels would increase “several meters” within the next 50 to 150 years. He was wrong when he said in 1988 that NYC would be flooded by this time so now he makes sure he and most of the rest of us will be dead before if we see if he is wrong a second time. 

How does that old saying go: “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me.” Too bad we will not be around to see if he is so wrong again, wise move on his part.

3) Looks like Mr. Hansen is not the only person coming out with new predictions despite having been so wrong with his predictions in the past. According to an article by Sarah Taylor, writing for the The Blaze on July 25, 2017, Al Gore is back with a whole new set of scary predictions that will happen because of global warming/climate change:

• Gore claims that global warming, something that stopped almost 20 years ago, will result in the “potential for tens of millions of refugees”entering the United States: “The Max Planck Institute and others are now saying that some significant regions of the Middle East and North Africa may become uninhabitable because of the rise in both the temperature and humidity. And that will increase the flows of refugees. Africa by mid-century will have more people than either China or India, and by the end of the century more people than India and China combined.”He went on to claim that 20 million people are on the verge of famine around the world.
• This despite the fact that global warming has made the world greener and food production more efficient and productive.
• He is once again trying to equate his stand and position on global warming on the highest moral and spiritual causes, much like he has done in the past when he called those of us that have doubts about global warming as being ignorant, racist, and homophobic.
• Now he claims the following moral high ground: “The climate movement is right now in the tradition of all the great moral causes that have improved the circumstances of humanity throughout our history. The abolition of slavery. Women’s suffrage and women’s rights.”

By inference, those that disagree with him would have also been against slavery, women’s suffrage, and women’s rights. Which of course is total garbage. Gore’s predictions have been wrong, Hansen’s predictions have been wrong, every global warming advocate’s predictions have been wrong. Trying to cover up your incompetence by shaming others is the lowest form of discussion and debate. Pathetic.

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