Monday, January 14, 2019

Janiary, 2019, Part 1, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Cooler Temps and Less Violent Weather

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of man made global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:
  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control on our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical post listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaim.

1) Back in the 1970s, climatologists were predicting the onset of a new Ice Age. Just a few short years later that same profession started the global warming myth with its set of associated predictions. Over time, we now know that every one of those global warming predictions never came close to coming true and the havoc that global warming was supposed to cause never materialized.

As the saying goes, what goes around comes around and that also appears to be true with climate:
  • Warner Todd Huston, writing for the Godfather Politics website, reported on the climate over the past two years.
  • According to a report by Real Clear Markets, “From February 2016 to February 2018 (the latest month available) global average temperatures dropped 0.56°C.”
  • This is the biggest two year drop since the 1982 - 1984 period.
  • The data from the report comes from GISTEMP and their analysis, “2018: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis, NASA Goddard Institute For Space Studies.”
  • The website for their report can be found at: https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/).
  • According to the article, “This is the standard source used in most journalistic reporting of global average temperatures.”
  • Within the two year period, there was the largest five month drop in temps EVER, February to June, 2016.
  • And the fourth biggest five month period drop in temps EVER occurred between February and June, 2017.
  • The five month period from February to June, 2018 found that average global temps were below the 1980s average temperature.
  • And finally, February, 2018 was colder than February, 1998.
  • And given that temperature variability has decreased over time, these colder temps in the past few years is not likely due to sampling error alone.
Wow, could we be all the way back to global cooling being the next big thing? Too early to tell but the article correctly points out how global warming advocates behave when global cooling evidence becomes a reality: “My point is that statistical cooling outliers garner no media attention. The global average temperature numbers come out monthly. If they show a new hottest year on record, that’s a big story. If they show a big increase over the previous month, or the same month in the previous year, that’s a story. If they represent a sequence of warming months or years, that’s a story. When they show cooling of any sort—and there have been more cooling months than warming months since anthropogenic warming began—there’s no story.”

Which is why I am a global warming doubter and a believer in science: many climate scientists and the politicians and media types that support them will say nothing about this global cooling period since it does not fit the myth and objectives that they want.

2) For decades now we have been told by global warming advocates that we will see more and more severe weather via more and more intense hurricanes, tornadoes, droughts, and wildfires. Hurricane Katrina was the great rallying call for global warming advocates in that they predicted that Katrina was in the vanguard of more severe storms to come.

So what happened? Immediately after Katrina we went into a dozen years with fewer and milder hurricanes. As a resident of Florida since 2005, I did not experience a single hurricane until Irma, twelve years after moving into the state. Hardly the horrific forecast the advocates said would happen.

But it is not just bigger and more frequent hurricanes that were erroneously predicted by the global warming advocates. According to Todd Warner Huston, again writing for the Godfather Politics website: 
  • The year 2018 was the first year since measurements began in 1950 that no violent tornadoes hit the U.S.
  • Let me say that again, there were NO violent tornadoes in the country in 2018.
  • Technically, it was the first year where there were no recorded EF4 or EF5, the worst kind, of tornadoes.
  • This runs contrary to global warming theory which always predicted more and more violent tornadoes.
  • Even the Washington Post, long the advocate and supporter of liberal based causes such as global warming admitted the truth: ”It was a quiet year for tornadoes overall, with below normal numbers most months. Unless you’re a storm chaser, this is not bad news. The low tornado count is undoubtedly a big part of the reason the 10 tornado deaths in 2018 are also vying to be a record low.”
  • The long term trend is also very positive in that the average number of violent hurricanes in a year is less than half the average it was back in the 1970s.
  • Even when the more moderate EF3 tornadoes are included in the measurement, 2018 was still a record low.
Cooler temperatures and less violent storms is the reality when hotter temperatures and more violent storms were the forecast. Missed by that much… which is a real lot.

That will do it for today but we are just getting started proving again this month that it is perfectly sane to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science...and reality.

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