I Am A Global Warming Doubter But A Believer In Science Update, Part 2: Is Global Cooling More Of A Threat Than Global Warming/Climate Change?

This is the second of two posts that review the evidence over the past two year's worth of posts in this blog that prove you can be a global warming doubter and still be a firm believer in science and the scientific method. The first eight instances which scientifically cast doubt on the whole global warming/climate change theory can be accessed at:

http://loathemygovernment.blogspot.com/2013/11/i-am-global-warming-doubter-and.html

The remaining past evidence of global warming doubt, from a scientific basis, is listed below. Over the next few days, we will update these peices of evidence with new science that provide further evidence that man made global warming/climate change could actually be much adieu about nothing and no reason for the government and the ruling political class to use such potential nonsense to increase the taxes and control of our lives that they love to do.

9) An article earlier in 2013 in the well respected magazine, The Economist, pointed out how reality is not matching up with the dire, doomsday predictions of global warming advocates. Even though greenhouse gas emissions have soared during the past 15 years, with 100 billion tons of carbon having been added to the atmosphere between 2000 and 2010, both air and ground temperatures during that time have remained unchanged. 

Surface temperatures have been at the lower end of the projected range of various global warming models since 2005. If the temps remain flat, they may shortly actually begin to fall below projections, i.e. the global warming forecasts are not close to the reality of the cooler temperatures found on earth today.

The Economist article proposes several theories of why this gap between expect climate behavior is different than actual climate behavioral but basically concludes: we really do not know what is going on climate-wise.

10) As a follow up to the Economist article findings, consider what David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation notes: “The global temperature standstill shows that climate models are diverging from observations. If we have not passed it already, we are on the threshold of global observations becoming incompatible with the consensus theory of climate change.”

Uh-oh. Forecasts not matching reality. Could it be the forecast methodology and assumptions are wrong and are not matching up to the scientific reality because man made global warming does not exist?

11) On February 18, 2013, the Space and Science Research Center (SSCR), located in Orlando, Florida, issued is annual Global Climate Status Report for 2013. According to this organization’s website, the Mission of the SSRC is “to provide an independent un-biased resource for governments, media, corporations, and the people on important areas of scientific research, in particular the cause and effects of climate change, and to serve as an objective resource for the planning and analysis of the next climate change - predicted to be one of decades of record cold weather.”

What? A climate research group of scientists is predicting a coming a global COOLING period ahead, not global warming???? How can that be, Al Gore said that ALL climate scientists agreed that global warming was an oncoming issue? How dare the SSCR differ from Al!

I do not know anything about the SSRC. For all I know, they could be a front for the oil and coal industries and their research is pure propaganda. However, they apparently do deserve a hearing, a peer scientific review of their findings to either verify or refute their findings and conclusions. That is what science is all about. Because, if they are right, and a global cooling/ice age is about to hit us, that is a whole different set of problems and agendas vs. global warming. 

12) Forbes magazine reported on a recent survey of over 1,000 geoscientists and engineers regarding global warming. The survey was done by peer-reviewed Organization Studies. 

The bottom line results found that only 36% of those scientists surveyed agree with the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) claim that human activity is causing a serious global warming problem. A majority of scientists in the survey believe that nature is the primary cause of recent global warming and/or that future global warming will not be a very serious problem. 

The article goes into detail defending the results and comparing the findings to assertions of global warming advocates who, rather debunking these findings with science, seem more content to attack the integrity of the survey and those who participated in it.

13) The United Kingdom’s Daily Mail newspaper reported in an October 13, 2012 article on the latest worldwide temperature readings and research:

• The world stopped getting warmer almost 16 years ago, according to new data released in early October, 2012. 
• The temperature readings and findings come from over 3,000 measuring points, on land and sea, around the world. 
• The latest measurements reveal that from the beginning of 1997 until August 2012, there was no discernible rise in aggregate global temperatures. 
• This means that the ‘plateau’ or ‘pause’ in global warming has now lasted for about the same time as the previous period when temperatures rose, 1980 to 1996. 
• Before that, world temperatures had been stable or declining for about 40 years. 
• Since 1880, the first time reliable temperature statistics have been kept, the average world temperatures are up only .75 degree Celsius. 

Judith Curry, who is the head of the climate science department at Georgia Tech university, said it was clear that the computer models used to predict future warming were ‘deeply flawed’. Is she right? I do not know but she is a scientist whose view is worthy of considering, especially based on the non-warming of the earth over the past 15 years.

14) Last fall, Hurricane Sandy devastated the Middle Atlantic states and caused widespread destruction with high winds and flooding. On cue, before the death and destruction had been totaled, Al Gore was out and accusing those of us who had our doubts about global warming to shut up because Hurricane Sandy, one storm, proved global warming or climate change. However, he failed to mention the following realities: 

• In September of 1938, a hurricane grew to become a huge Category 5 hurricane before making landfall as a Category 3 hurricane, obviously a huge storm, larger in ferocity than Hurricane Sandy’s Category 2 status. 
• The hurricane glanced by NYC and hit land on Long Island on September 21. 
• The hurricane was estimated to have killed between 682 and 800 people, more than Hurricane Sandy is expected to have killed despite higher population density than Long Island in 1938. 
• The 1938 storm damaged or destroyed over 57,000 homes and caused property losses estimated at $306 million ($4.7 billion in 2012). 
• As late as 1951, damaged trees and buildings were still seen in the affected areas. 
• According to Wikipedia, this 1938 storm “remains the most powerful, costliest and deadliest hurricane in recent New England history, eclipsed in landfall intensity perhaps only by the Great Colonial Hurricane of 1635, 377 years before Hurricane Sandy." 
• The Great September Gale of 1815 which hit New York City directly as a Category 3 hurricane, caused extensive damage and created an inlet that separated the Long Island resort towns of the Rockaways and Long Beach into two separate barrier islands. 
• The 1821 Category 4 storm made four separate landfalls in Virginia, New Jersey, New York, and southern New England, created the highest recorded storm surge in Manhattan of nearly 13 feet and severely impacted the farming regions of Long Island and southern New England. 
• The 1869 Saxby Gale affected areas in Northern New England, decimating the Maine coastline and the Canadian Outer Banks. It was the last major hurricane to affect New England until the 1938 storm. 
• The 1893 New York hurricane, a Category 2 storm, directly hit the city itself, causing a great storm surge that pummeled the coastline, completely removing the Long Island resort town of Hog Island. 

Thus, to think that one storm proves man made global warming is ludicrous and certainly not scientific reasoning or research. Stronger storms over the past few centuries, before global warming could have even been considered, have come and gone with the resultant damage and loss of life. 

15) According to an article in Salon.com that was summarized in the September 28, 2013 issue of The Week magazine, carbon dioxide global warming gases in the U.S. are at their lowest point in 20 years, down 14% from their peak in 2007 as a result of fracking and the expanded use of natural gas, which is less damaging to the environment than coal and oil. This reduction is resulting in 500 megatons worth of emissions not going into the air, which is twice the amount of positive impact than what the original Kyoto agreement had on every other country in the world. 

16) An article from the Washington Post that was summarized in the March 1, 2013 issue of The Week reported similar numbers when it claimed that U.S. carbon emissions had fallen 13% relative to 2005 levels with a large part of that due to the increase use of natural gas and wind power. 

17) A Reason magazine article that was summarized in the January 18, 2013 issue of The Week magazine reported that U.S. power plant emissions were down 12% from their peak in 2007 even though the economy is larger than it was six years ago, mainly due to the wider use of natural gas. 

18) And finally, a Business Week graph in the January 7, 2013 issue of Business Week claimed that the demand and use of coal is up in every region of the world except the United States, with coal energy production almost catching up to oil energy production, not a good thing if you believe in global warming. 

The continual preaching and whining by Gore and others like himself get really tiring over time. To accuse folks like myself, global warming doubters, is an insult to our beliefs and trust in science. We believe that unbiased scientific research and sane and rational approaches to a problem are the correct way to go, not the pop science and sensationalism that Gore and others scream from the roof tops without looking at ALL of the research

So please, believers of global warming, or climate change if you prefer, a little sensitivity to those of us that feel, based on scientific processes and violation of scientific processes, that there is a valid scientific reason to doubt man made global warming and climate change. Yelling at us and calling us ignorant is no way to arrive at a conclusive consensus of what is going on in the environment and what to do about it. 

Besides, based on the 18 points we have made above and yesterday, there is plenty of scientific research and analyses to prove that if anything, we have as much science and proof that man made global warming and climate change DO NOT exist, despite Al Gore’s rantings. 

Polar ice packs are growing, temperatures are flat, the earth has been hotter in its past than today, some science is indicating global cooling, the premier scientific lab in the world (CERN) says no to global warming, and anyway, the U.S. has done an outstanding job, without government and political class help, in reducing the nation’s carbon footprint, something everyone should be happy with. 

In the next two days, we will review further proof that the global warming, climate change hysteria needs to chill as we review the latest research and science which occurred after we reported on the 18 points we just made. After that, we will propose an approach that makes for a cleaner world and handles global warming regardless of whether it is a myth or a reality.

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