Wednesday, December 19, 2018

December, 2018, Part 2, Why I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Reviewing The Horrible Track Record Of Global Warming Forecasting

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of man made global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:
  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control on our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical post listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaim.

1) Looks like today we will focus on predictions made by global warming advocates with the end result no unsurprisingly being how very wrong these predictions ALWAYS are. Let’s start off with some research done by Michael Haverluck of the One News Now website:
  • On December 13, 2008, Al Gore warned the world in a speech in Germany that the North Pole would be devoid of ice in Five years.
  • Specifically, “The entire North ‘polarized’ cap will disappear in five years.” 
  • TEN years later, there is still a lot of ice at the North Pole, even in the summer.
  • According to Jim Hoft of the Gateway Pundit website, Gore had actually starting making that prediction at least one year before the Germany speech.
  • Thus, we should be at least five years into an ice free pole.
  • He hedged his bet in 2009 when he added a 75% chance of an ice free North pole within five to seven years: “Some of the models suggest that there is a 75-percent chance that the entire north polar ice cap – during some of the summer months – could be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years.” 
  • Obviously that did not happen or even come close to happening.
  • Back in January 2006, a full twelve years ago, Gore predicted that, “Within the next 10 years, the world will reach a point of no return [and] a true planetary emergency [due to global warming].”
  • The article points out that, “However, according to the Danish Meteorological Institute, there has been no trend in Arctic sea ice for the past 12 years.” 
Fortunately, we did pass both his ten years and point of no return and it looks like we will survive, no thanks to his alarmist forecasts that were absolutely pitiful in predicting the future. 

2) The above article points out that Gore was not just pathetically wrong on his North Pole forecasts. According to the same article, Gore was grossly wrong in eight predictions from his global warming alarmist movie, “An Inconvenient Truth,” as pointed out by a January, 2016 article on The Blaze website:

1- Gore predicted in the movie that sea levels could rise 20 feet higher due to the melting of the South Pole and Greenland ice sheets. But in reality, the South Pole ice sheets is actually INCREASING in ice volume and there has not been an increase or excessive ice melting from Greenland. As far as the sea level rising, not even close to 20 feet. 0 for 1 on predictions.

2- Gore claimed that CO2 would lead to dramatic rises in the Earth’s overall temperature as did most climate forecasts (which also always wrong.) Satellite data shows that the Earth’s temperatures stabilized about 19 years ago despite untold amounts of CO2 being thrown into the air from mankind’s carbon usage. 0 for 2 on predictions.

3- After Hurricane Katrina, global warming alarmists predicted that the fury of Katrina would be the new norm in hurricane ferocity due to global warming. And then we went over a dozen years with very little hurricane activity, the longest drought in hurricane history. 0 for 3 on predictions.

4- Not only were hurricanes supposed to get more frequent and harsher, the same was predicted on tornadoes. However, the number of devastating tornadoes has actually been declining over the past 60 years, especially the past three years, the exact opposite of what global warming advocates predicted. 0 for 4 on predictions.

5- Global warming was supposed to be killing off the polar bear population since it was robbing them of their cold habitation areas. And yet, according to population counts, there are probably more polar bears alive today then when most of us were born. Natives to the northern realms, the government of Nunavut and Inuit hunters, testify that indeed there are a lot more polar beavers wandering around up north. 0 for 5 on predictions.

6- Polar bears were supposed to be getting rarer and rarer because the Arctic ice was melting. And yet, in 2015 the Arctic ice cap saw the largest refreezing in over ten years. 0 for 6 on predictions.

7- Gore predicted that the Sahel area south of the Sahara Desert was supposed to get drier and drier because of global warming. However, according to satellite images, the Sahel is one of the areas on Earth that has gained the most vegetation growth in the world. The theory is that increased amounts of CO2 in the air, which is vital to plant growth, is responsible for more vegetation growth. a good thing. 0 for 7 on predictions.

8- Al Gore and his types have claimed that CO2 is absolute pollution and poison and needs to be contained and reduced by mankind. However, as the Sahel proves and we have discussed many times before in this blog, increases in the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is strongly correlated with higher and higher crop yields and vegetation growth around the world. So much for pollution and poisoning. 0 for 8 on predictions.

As we have said so many times before, and proven again by the eight failed predictions listed above, every major and minor global warming prediction has been miserably wrong at predicting reality. Which is probably why the global warming advocates rebranded their vendetta from “global warming” to “climate change.” They did such a miserable job predicting the effects of global warming, they needed a fresh start of hysteria to promote, the nebulous term “climate change,” which can mean anything they want it to be. 

Too much cold weather? Man made climate change! Too much hot weather? Man made climate change! Too many hurricanes? Man made climate change! Too few hurricanes? Man made climate change! And yet, people like Al Gore still try to convince us that they know best, that they are smarter than us in predicting the future of climate even though their track record is abysmal. 

Which brings us to the latest prediction of climate gloom and doom that the Federal government recently released. Why should we believe that this prediction is any better, given the horrible track record of climate forecasting? That will be the subject of our discussion over the next few posts.

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