Showing posts with label science is settled. Show all posts
Showing posts with label science is settled. Show all posts

Saturday, July 22, 2017

July, 2017, Part 4, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Solar Panels = Bad, Cold Up North and More

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees

As we have dove into the whole issue of manmade global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:
  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control of our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical posts listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims.

1) Earlier this week we discussed a research report that re-examined government data that had shown an upward trend in global warming of the Earth. The research study was done by a statistician and two climate scientists and had been peer reviewed and approved. 

Their bottom line is that the government had adjusted raw temperature data over the years in a biased manner to show a warming trend that did not exist in the raw data. I was able to find the abstract for their study that summarized their results and have listed it below. As you will see, it is a serious indictment of false science and research that government workers have perpetrated in the field of climate science:

In this research report, the most important surface data adjustment issues are identified and past changes in the previously reported historical data are quantified. It was found that each new version of GAST has nearly always exhibited a steeper warming linear trend over its entire history. And, it was nearly always accomplished by systematically removing the previously existing cyclical temperature pattern. This was true for all three entities providing GAST data measurement, NOAA, NASA and Hadley CRU.

As a result, this research sought to validate the current estimates of GAST using the best available relevant data. This included the best documented and understood data sets from the U.S. and elsewhere as well as global data from satellites that provide far more extensive global coverage and are not contaminated by bad siting and urbanization impacts. Satellite data integrity also benefits from having cross checks with Balloon data.

The conclusive findings of this research are that the three GAST data sets are not a valid representation of reality. In fact, the magnitude of their historical data adjustments, that removed their cyclical temperature patterns, are totally inconsistent with published and credible U.S. and other temperature data. Thus, it is impossible to conclude from the three published GAST data sets that recent years have been the warmest ever –despite current claims of record setting warming.

Finally, since GAST data set validity is a necessary condition for EPA’s GHG/CO2 Endangerment Finding, it too is invalidated by these research findings.

“The conclusive findings of this research are that the three GAST data sets are not a valid representation of reality.” Let me say it again, “not a valid representation of reality.” Seems to be a trend among many climate change/global warming advocates. And while man made global warming may actually be a reality, it is not proven by this government data, the reports and predictions based on this falsely adjusted government data are invalid, and the theory takes another hit from a scientific integrity perspective.

2) In light of this previous point that proved that falsely adjusted government data seriously undermines the theory of manmade global warming, let's take a look at some other data that does the same thing. We have previously talked about this scientific research from Denmark but in light of the fake government data we just discussed, let’s look at some other real data, as reported on the Federalist Papers website:
  • The analysis comes from research done by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) and was reported in by England’s Telegraph newspaper.
  • Since December, temps in the Arctic have been consistently lower than minus 20 C.
  • In April, the Arctic sea ice coverage was back to where it was in 2004.
  • While the ice had been on the thin side for a number of years, this year it is back to being two meters thick.
  • The Greenland ice mass increased in volume this past winter faster than any time in years.
  • While 2016 was a very warm year, with the dissipation of the strong El NIno from last year, satellite records show that in recent months temperatures have quickly dropped more than .06 degrees C, the exact same thing that happened 17 years ago when a similarly strong El Nino dissipated.
  • Global temperatures have been more or less constant for 19 years running, totally blowing away the accuracy of most if not all primary global warming forecast models.
Colder than expected, another global warming forecast myth rattled. But things might be getting worse from a cooling climate according to a recent Daily Wire article:
  • Some climate research is predicting that a natural cooling cycle of the Earth happens every 230 years or so and that the next cooling cycle actually began taking hold in 2014.
  • By 2019, we should see a significant drop in temperatures if this climate research is correct.
  • Some scientists are expecting a big drop in solar activity between 2020 and 2053 which will cause the next ice age.
  • If new ice age if it happens, would devastate crop yields and lead to food shortages around the world.
Given that some climate scientists grossly missed their global warming forecasts, it is entirely possible that other scientists will grossly miss their ice age and cooling forecasts. But the bottom line is to say that the “science is settled” or that 97% of all climate scientists agree with the theory of global warming is simply wrong.

3) A few days ago we reviewed research that showed that the end of the life cycle of solar panels is really bad for the environment:


Well, it seems that other research shows that the the manufacturing of solar panels at the beginning of their life cycle is not that great for the environment either:
  • A recent research study by scientists at Utrecht University in the Netherlands found that if you take into account the amount of CO2 produced from the mining of materials used in solar panels and the output of factories that produce solar panels, then the total amount of CO2 produced in the total manufacturing process of solar panels is generally greater than the amount of CO2 saved by using solar panels.
  • The raw data for the study and research spanned 40 years worth of solar panel manufacturing and CO2 output.
  • The researchers found that it would take decades for solar panels to be friendlier to the environment than burning fossil fuels but since most solar panels do not last decades, the net benefit to solar panels is negative relative to CO2.
  • The research was funded by the Technology Foundation STW which is a government agency of the European Commission, hardly a fossil fuels front.
Again, when looking to solve a problem, look at all layers of the problem because unless you know the root causes, you will never be successful in resolving any problem, climate or other wise.

One more post in the next few days that continues to prove it is perfectly sane and rational to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:


www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:


http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w







Monday, June 5, 2017

June, 2017, Part 3, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Believing Bogus Data But Ignoring Reality

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees

As we have dove into the whole issue of manmade global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:
  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control of our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical posts listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims.

1) We have often talked about the myths of “the science is settled” and “97% of climate scientists” claim mankind is causing massive global warming and climate change. Despite the idiocy of these claims, climate change advocates keep throwing them out without knowing how wrong they are.

Thus, as a community service, let’s start off today’s discussion with a review of how stupid that 97% number is. Kay Francis, writing for the IHave The Truth website on May 29, 2017 did a nice review of how the bogus 97% number was arrived at:
  • The basis of the 97% was a calculation based on a tiny sample of 77n climate scientists.
  • Of all the scientists and climate scientists in the world, this wide misused statistic is based on the opinions of only 77 people.
  • This tiny sample is actually a tiny subsample of a survey that was done back in 2009 by the American Geophysical Union (AGU) that was actually only a brief two question online a survey sent to 10,257 earth scientists by two researchers from the University of Illinois.
  • As a side note not mentioned in the article, it is my recollection that one of the researchers was a masters candidate, i.e. she did not even have a masters degree in the field yet never mind being an experienced Phd scientist.
  • The 3,146 people responded to the survey and then the data was manipulated and cut and hacked down to only 77 respondents, out of which 75 said that mankind was causing significant global warming and climate change.
  • Thus, out of the 10,257 surveys sent out, the conclusion is based on less than .8% of the population mailed and less than 2.6% of the respondents.
  • Larry Bell of Forbes sums up the results nicely: “Then of those [3,146 that actually took the survey], only a small subset, just 77 who had been successful in getting more than half of their papers recently accepted by peer-reviewed climate science journals, were considered in their survey statistic. That “98% all scientists” referred to a laughably puny number of 75 of those 77 who answered “yes.”
Now, do you want to believe 75 people or do you want to believe the 31,000 scientists that have signed on to a resolution since 1998 which stipulates that: “…there is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate.”

As a trained statistician, I kinda freak out when non-statisticians use numbers carelessly like this. We have no idea if the original sample was balanced and representative of the reality of the world and we have no idea if the respondent pool was skewed and whether or not the respondent poll was correctly adjusted, or adjusted at all, to represent the population. But we do know that certain publication criteria was used to get to the tine sample size of 77 and thus, guarantee the answer the researchers wanted.

There is an old statistician saying that goes as follows: “If you torture the data long enough, it will confess to anything.” This is a classic example of data torture, you start with 10,000 people, you get responses from 3,000 people, you then put specific and biased restrictions on who you want to count and you then assume that a tiny, tiny subset of respondents, that you artificially created represents the world. Bad research with bad results, all done under the guise of data torture.

2) For almost twenty years, the Earth’s overall temperature stood still. This long, flat trend created a serious problem for global warming advocates whose dire predictions needed the Earth’s temps to continue to rise steadily over the years in order for their theories and views to be valid. 

In desperation, global warming advocates went into overdrive to save their precious theory. They started coming up with hypotheses that all of a sudden the extra heat was being stored deep in the ocean depths or that global warming had simply “paused,” as if it was a marathon runner who stopped to catch his breath. Or more conveniently, they simply ignored the pause in rising temperatures and pretended it did not exist.

But then 2016 came along and it was a very hot year. All of a sudden, global warming advocates were back in full throat and yelling that global warming was back, based on one data point! They were mostly silent when almost twenty years of data points showed a trend of flat temperatures but then burst out when one data point, 2016, experiences hot temperatures.

But as a statistician will tell you, one data point is not a trend. According to an article published in the journal, Science of the Total Environment, in February:
  • Despite the findings in 2016 that the temperatures at the South Pole were warmer than usual, sending global warming advocates into a frenzy, this recent study indicates that the Antarctic Peninsula has actually been cooling over the past three decades.
  • The study also concluded that there has been a “slow-down of glacier recession, a shift to surface mass gains of the peripheral glacier and a thinning of the active layer of permafrost in northern AP islands.” In other words, it is still  cold down south
One data point does not make a trend, around the world or at the south pole. We already know that the higher than usual temps in 2016 were caused by a massive El Nino weather effect in 2016, an effect that been dissipating and with it, the return to cooler temperatures. One data point does not make a trend, despite what Al Gore types and their resultant hysteria claim.

3) One last point for today. In recent Senate hearings, Senator Bernie Sanders showed his ignorance when it comes to misusing statistics when he claimed that: “97 percent of scientists who have written articles for peer-reviewed journals have concluded that climate change is real, it is caused by human activity, and it is already causing devastating problems in our country and around the world.” 

Of course, he was referring to the stupid, invalid and bogus survey dissected above where 77 people are considered to be 97% of ALL scientists. Still no cure for stupid...or ignorance.

That will do it for today: basing conclusions on bad data and bad research and ignoring real data from the real world. Sounds about right for your typical global warming/climate change advocate, even those sitting in Congress. More to follow.

Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:


http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w






Sunday, April 30, 2017

April, 2017, I am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Book Burning Congressmen, California Flooding, and More,

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees

As we have dove into the whole issue of manmade global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:
  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control of our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical posts listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims.

1) We have previously documented how major previous climate forecasts and predictions have gone spectacularly wrong despite “scientists “ swearing that they knew the future of climate. One such extensive review of past climate forecast failures can be accessed at:


Walter E. Williams, writing for the Heritage Foundation on April 26, 2017, recently did his own review, “Here’s How Wrong Past Environment Predictions Have Been:”
  • In 1970, high regarded biologist Paul Ehrlich predicted that "all important animal life in the sea will be extinct" in 10 years or so.
  • Also in 1970, Nobel laureate biology professor at Harvard, George Wald, forecasted that: “Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.” 47 years later we are still hanging around.
  • Also in 1970, certainly a bad year for climate and weather predictions, Paul Ehrlich, also that the world’s population would soon outstrip food supplies.
  • He followed up on this starvation prediction when he claimed that, “The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next 10 years.” 47 years later people are still starving but nowhere close to the rate he predicted.
  • But he was even more wrong two years earlier when he said that, : “If I were a gambler, I would take even money that England will not exist in the year 2000.”
  • Nigel Calder warned in a July, 1975 International Wildlife article that, “The threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for mankind.” So, as recently as about 40 years ago we were all going to die from an Ice Age, not global warming.
  • C.C.Wallen claimed in 1975 in a Science News article that, “The cooling since 1940 has been large enough and consistent enough that it will not soon be reversed.” But according to other scientists it reversed a few years later when the exact opposite climate trend became popular, global warming.
  • In 2000, British climate researcher David Viner told The Independent, a British newspaper, that in just “a few years” snow would become a “very rare and exciting event” in Britain and that “children just aren’t going to know what snow is...Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past.” In the next few years, Britain experienced some of its lowest temperatures and snowfall accumulations since records started being kept in 1914.
  • Let’s go back to the global cooling scare of the 1970s when ecologist Kenneth Watt told a college audience in 1970: “The world has been chilling sharply for about 20 years. If present trends continue, the world will be about 4 degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990 but 11 degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”
  • Again back to 1970, Senator Gaylord Nelson of Wisconsin wrote in Look magazine: “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian (Institution), believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.” Not even close.
  • Scientist Harrison Brown predicted in 1970 that mankind would run out of copper shortly after the 2000 and that lead, zinc, gold and silver would be gone ten years earlier.
  • The Federal government’s Department of the Interior predicted in 1939 that American oil supplies would run out by 1952 and in 1949 reminded everyone that the end of U.S. oil supplies was in sight, never accounting for the fracking technology that blows these expert views and predictions away.
  • But the government still insisted in making predictions when in 1974 the U.S. Geological Survey said the country only had a 10 year supply of natural gas left even though according to the latest Federal government estimate, 43 years later, we had 2.47 quadrillion cubic feet of natural gas, which should last about a century.
Obviously, not all of the failed predictions have to do with the climate, But all show that even if the “science is settled,” it really isn’t since the scientists and experts of the time and their advocates were insanely wrong about reality and their predictions. We see the same thing now with every single major, and most if not all minor, global warming forecasts being so far off target with the ensuing reality that they are laughable.

These facts, the unfulfilled historical predictions about ice ages, global warming, oil supplies, natural gas supplies, plant and animal extinction, etc. is why we have always called for a comprehensive review of ALL climate research, not the selective and often bogus research and science that people like Al Gore and Barack Obama have hyped over the years.

But in reality maybe it is not about being right and it is all about getting a political agenda passed, a hint of which we see from Senator Timothy Wirth in 1988 when he candidly stated: “We’ve got to … try to ride the global warming issue. Even if the theory of global warming is wrong … we will be doing the right thing anyway in terms of economic policy and environmental policy.” 

“Even if the theory of global warming is wrong…” So, according to the good Senator, even if the theory and science of global warming is wrong, we should PRETEND it is right and tax Americans and American businesses, restrict freedoms and put forth onerous regulations for a known false reality. Only in Washington can you know something is wrong and go forth pretending it is reality. Insanity.

2) It seems that when dealing with global warming advocates that if they cannot beat you with real science and facts they they revert to a more primitive way of arguing, destroying the people daring to challenge their beliefs. That is exactly what three Congressional Democrats are trying to do with legislation, legislation that is on a par with book burning:
  • These global warming Congressional members are trying to block schools from using a book by climate scientists that challenge their beloved global warming theory.
  • They are calling alternative views by real scientists “inappropriate and “propaganda.”
  • Congressman Bobby Scott, the ranking Democrat on the Education and the Workforce Committee had this Orwellian view: “Public school classrooms are no place for anti-science propaganda, and I encourage every teacher to toss these materials in the recycling bin...Successful high school graduates are aware and engaged global citizens with an understanding of and appreciation for scientific fact.” 
  • He continued with this diatribe: “If the Heartland Institute and other climate deniers want to push a false agenda on global warming, our nation’s schools are an inappropriate place to drive that agenda.”
  • The three authors of the book that this idiot wants to ban are all Phds and have all taught science at the university level: Craig Idso, S. Fred Singer and Robert M. Carter, who died in 2016.
So who are going to believe, some Congressman from Virginia or three Phd scientists with university credentials?

So who are you going to believe, some Congressman from Virginia or the reality that all climate change and global warming models have been insanely inaccurate over the past two decades

So who are you going to believe, some Congressman from Virginia or the reality that Al Gore’s prediction in 2009 that the north pole ice cap could be gone by 2013 is insanely wrong?

So who are you going to believe, some Congressman from Virginia or the government whistleblower who claimed that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association, a Federal government agency intentionally mangled raw data to hide the twenty year “global warming pause,” especially since that whistleblower was John Bates, a principal scientist of the National Climatic Data Center who accused the NOAA of “flagrant manipulation of scientific integrity guidelines and scientific publication standards.”

We could go on and on about how global warming advocates have manipulated, ignored, and savagely attacked scientists, data, and research that was counter to their limited views. This action by elected officials is very scary though, it is reminiscent of Nazi book burning and other such attacks on truth and science. Kids in our schools should be taught how to think, not what to think. 

That is why presenting alternative views supported by good science is imperative in our educational processes. Failure to recognize that critical factor like these three Congressional buffoons is a disgrace to sound educational processes and the First Amendment.

3) Frank Vernuccio, writing for the Affluent Christian Investor website on April 7, 2017, gave a number of examples of how climate change and global warming advocates ignore facts and reality:
  • Global warming advocates in California have been harping on a supposed reality that California is now in a state of permanent drought as a result of manmade global warming.
  • However, the San Jose Mercury news recently reported that flooding is now a massive problem facing the state of California.
  • Flooding and permanent drought seem to be contrary situations.
  • According to the newspaper: “...164 percent of its historic average, a massive accumulation of new water… There is so much snow that the Squaw Valley ski resort, which has received 54 feet of snow so far this year, plans to stay open until July 4…So when is Gov. Jerry Brown going to rescind or amend the drought emergency order he signed in January 2014? He hasn’t said.”
  • But the governor is not likely to rescind or amend anything since as recently as this past January he state: “We can’t fall back and give in to the climate deniers. We’ve got the scientists, we’ve got the lawyers and we’re ready to fight.”
  • But Brown is not alone since in 2015, a U.S.News and World report article claimed that, “Climate change is linked to California’s drought…”
  • In 2015, Newsweek stated that, “With each passing year, human-caused global warming bullies California for more water. Each year, the heat squeezes more moisture from soils and ecosystems.”
  • Even Stanford got in on the permanent/global warming drought game: “[the drought conditions] ‘very likely’ linked to human-caused climate change, Stanford scientists write in a new research paper."
  • Even world famous scientist Barack Obama got his two cents in on the permanent global warming-caused California drought: “Droughts have obviously been a part of life out here in the West … scientific evidence shows that a changing climate is going to make them more intense.”
And yet, despite all of these climate “experts” in politics and news media, Obama, Brown, Newsweek, U.S. News and World Report, etc., the reality as recently reported by the news media is that there are now serious flooding conditions throughout the state and likely more to come, given how much snow precipitation has yet to melt in the mountains. 

Politicians doing science and scientists ignoring data, science and research that does not match their preconceived ideas, and future grant proposals, is no way to operate. How about we all sit down and look at ALL of the science and research and THEN decide what to do, if anything, relative to the earth’s climate? That is real science, not Al Gore science.


Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:


www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:


http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w








Sunday, May 29, 2016

May, 2016, Part 2, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: Bill Nye Wants You In Jail and Al Gore Was Wrong Despite An Oscar Award

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in man made global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of man made global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:

  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control of our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical posts listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims:

1) Bill Nye is the science guy. One would think that someone known as the science guy would want to look at all sides of a scientific argument or problem. That is what scientists do, look at all available data, research, and information and put together testable theories in the search for truth.

But apparently Mr. Nye is not a traditional scientist in this sense. Even though we have provided hundreds of examples in various forms that proves that global warming science is not settled, Nye thinks that those realities, scientists, and facts should be ignored.

Why did I reach that conclusion? In a recent interview by the Youtube channel, cfact, Nye implied that putting global warming doubters jail might be a viable option since he and non-scientists like Al Gore and Barack Obama know what is best for humanity. If it means trampling on the rights of Americans to have a different opinion, then so be it.

Throwing people in jail for having a difference of opinion, a difference that is justified in so many ways by so many scientists and research? Is that what the political class in this country has done to us, abusing the Constitution and the scientific method in one fell swoop? And suggested by someone, Bill Nye, who has a degree in mechanical engineering, a discipline quite far away from knowing anything special about climate.

You can see Nye’s implying that jail is a good option for global warming doubters at:

http://conservativevideos.com/bill-nye-the-science-guy-thinks-climate-deniers-should-be-punished-in-this-horrific-way/

2) Michael Bastasch, writing for the Daily Caller on May 3, 2016, went back in time to review the forecasts that were made in Al Gore’s Oscar winning movie, “An Inconvenient Truth.” At the time of its release, the movie and it’s scary forecasts of climate disasters due to global warming were all the rage. What Mr. Bastasch found ten years later is that Gore’s “inconvenient truths” turned out to be anything but truth:

Claim #1 - Mount Kilimanjaro in Africa will be snow free within ten years.

Reality: There is still considerable snow on Mount Kilimanjaro and that snow is there 12 months a year. In a 2014 study, ecologists found that while the snow pack on the mountain may have shrunk a tiny bit over the past ten years, they concluded that the snow would be on that mountain top for many, many years to come:

“There are ongoing several studies, but preliminary findings show that the ice is nowhere near melting,” Imani Kikoti, an ecologist at Mount Kilimanjaro National Park, told eturbonews.com. “Much as we agree that the snow has declined over centuries, but we are comfortable that its total melt will not happen in the near future.” “Over the centuries,” long before man started using a lot of carbon based fuels. 

Claim #2: Gore claimed that the Earth’s temperature rise from man made carbon usage was “uninterrupted and intensifying.”

Reality: Beginning prior to the movie, global temperatures had already flatlined and continued to flatline for the next ten years. Until the recent El Nino, there has been no statistically significant warming of the Earth for more than 21 years. So much for uninterrupted and intensifying.

Claim #3: Storms and weather would become more frequent and intense as humanity continues to use carbon based fuels: “And of course when the oceans get warmer, that causes stronger storms. That same year that we had that string of big hurricanes, we also set an all-time record for tornadoes.”

Reality: But storms did NOT get more frequent and intense over the next ten years. As a Florida resident for the past ten years, we in this state have not had a major storm hit us since we moved here in 2005. While Hurricane Katrina was terrible and devastating, nothing close to it has happened since then even though humanity has used a lot of carbon based fuel since that storm.

The United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), an entity that has been the global advocate for global warming, eventually had to fess up relative to this claim, concluding in 2013 that there “is limited evidence of changes in extremes associated with other climate variables since the mid-20th century….[there has been] no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone frequency over the past century” and “[n]o robust trends in annual numbers of tropical storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes counts have been identified over the past 100 years in the North Atlantic basin.”

This is a major confession since Al Gore shared the Oscar for “An Inconvenient Truth” with the IPCC.

Clain #4: The Arctic would be ice free within the next 50 to 75 years. This is the best kind of forecast to make since just about everyone alive today will not live long enough to see if Gore was right. He used the scare tactic that the polar bears would go extinct since they would have no ice to live on any more at the North Pole.

Reality: But rather than play it safe, Gore blew it when in 2008 he predicted that the North Pole would be ice free by 2013 which, of course, never happened. We have discussed the reality many times in this blog that Arctic ice pack is still quite robust and no where close to being extinct and melted. “I doubt the Arctic will be free of all ice in any summer, although the total area may well be greatly reduced in the future if it continues to warm there,” said Chip Knappenberger, a climate scientist at the libertarian Cato Institute. “Such a situation should not be overly worrisome, as there is ample evidence that it has occurred in the past and clearly, polar bears, and everything else up there managed to survive.”

As an FYI, recall that we have shown a number of studies that proved that the polar bear population is large and growing despite Al Gore’s predictions of gloom and doom.

Claim #5: If Greenland’s ice sheet melts because of man made global warming, it will dump a load of cold water into the Atlantic Ocean and cause a new ice age, i.e. global warming will cause an ice age because the cold water changes the Gulf Stream: “At the end of the last ice age, as the last glacier was receding from North America, the ice melted and a giant pool of fresh water formed. An ice dam on the eastern border formed and one day it broke.”

Reality: Australian scientists totally killed the theory that the Gulf Stream, or AMOC, was weakening because of global warming or any other reason: “Claims of strengthening or reducing of the AMOC are therefore pure speculation,” the scientists wrote in a research paper published in March, 2016. 

So much for the “science being settled,” as Al Gore had loudly and and often proclaimed. For a film that was so bold in it’s predictions, it certainly was so wrong in being accurate in it’s predictions.

That will do it for today but we still have a lot of science and realities to discuss on why it is rational and sane to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science. Those discussions to happen in the coming days, assuming Bill Nye had not thrown us in jail by then.



Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:

Term Limits Now: http://www.howmuchworsecoulditget.com
http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w




Wednesday, May 4, 2016

April, 2016, Part 3, I am a Global Doubter and A Believer In Science: The Science Is Still Not Settled, More Coal Jobs Lost, and More

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of manmade global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:
  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control of our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical posts listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims:

1) Yesterday, we talked about how the “science is settled” assertion by global warming advocates is their rallying cry, their claim that you would have to be a fool to believe that manmade global warming does not exist and is not a threat to humanity because scientists believe it is. Yesterday, and many times before in this blog, we have quoted, cited, and discussed dozens, if not hundreds, of scientists that would dispute that assertion based on real science and the realities of today.

To that list of global warming doubters we can now add another scientist, Dr. Robert M.Carter, a geologist and professor emeritus at James Cook University in Australia and his recent quote: “We’re not dealing with a scientific issue. We haven’t been dealing with a scientific issue now for the past 15 or so years. We’re dealing with a determined political issue. It’s a campaign-cause.” In other words, global warming has become a political crusade, not a scientific crusade in the eyes of many scientists.

His quote comes from a recent article on the WND website which was discussing the soon to be released movie, “Climate Hustle.” That article can be read at: 


2) We have previously discussed the reality that Obama’s Clean Power Plan, a renegade piece of regulation that will decimate the U.S. coal industry, have minimal effect on the environment, will dramatically raise electricity costs in this country, and will put the country at a severe economic disadvantage relative to the rest of the world. We have shown how this plan and other inane Obama energy initiatives have caused widespread unemployment throughout the traditional coal states of Kentucky, Wyoming, and West Virginia, again, for no significant environment impact.

But according to a recent Heritage Foundation report, it is not only the traditional coal states and their citizens that are being devastated by Obama energy policies:
  • Chuck DeVore, writing for Heritage on March 14, 2016, discussed the reality that Obama’s Clean Energy Plan will wipe out many Navajo Nation jobs.
  • According to Arizona State Senator Carlyle Begay, coal mining is critical to the economic vitality of the Navajo Nation: “The Navajo Nation’s unemployment rate is over 50 percent. Currently, revenue from coal represents 60 percent of the Navajo Nation’s general funds and operating budget. Absent political restrictions on the use of coal, coal mining and the Navajo Generating Station on the Navajo Nation’s land would be expected to boost its economy by over $13 billion over the next 25 years.”
  • The coal industry is responsible for over 2,500 of the best paying jobs within the Navajo Nation which has very high unemployment levels to begin with.
  • But those jobs have been disappearing under the Obama administration with coal production form the Nation down to about 8-10 million tons of coal a year from 13-16 million tons a year before Obama and his EPA intruded into the market and industry.
Just another example of needlessly disrupting Americans’ lives and jobs for a plan that even the head of the EPA says will have minimal, if any, good impacts on the environment or so-called global warming. Just another example of an Obama policy that is all bluster and no benefit, just like Obama Care, Dodd-Frank, etc.

3) One of the reasons that Obama and his EPA are pushing for the destruction of the American coal industry is that he thinks it will set a good example for the rest of the world. Never mind the economic devastation of American families’ financial futures, he wants to set a good example, hoping that other countries will follow his lead to clean energy. Never mind that the rest of the world is planning on building at least 2,400 new coal fired power plants in the next few years, wiping out any minimal benefit of closing a handful of America coal plants. 

And if he had read an April 9, 2016 article by Nancy Hayes on the website:


he would realize that the Chinese, the nation that is building many of those new coal power plants, are not likely to follow his symbolic lead to alternative and clean energy sources: 
  • The Chinese national government has decided not to build any new wind turbines since existing electricity from existing wind turbines has apparently been wasted and has somehow caused damage to that nation’s electrical grid.
  • Earlier in April, the government in China, via a statement from its National Energy Administration, stopped approving all new wind energy power projects in the country’s windiest regions.
  • Although the turbines in these regions had the capacity for 71 gigawatts of electricity, much of it was wasted due to the wild fluctuations in how much and when the wind was available to produce electricity.
According to Myron Ebell, Director of the Center for Energy and Environment at the Competitive Enterprise Institute: "China is not the only country that has built so much wind capacity that their electric grid can't handle the wild fluctuations in output, and it won't be the last. The United States should learn from these incredibly expensive mistakes. Instead, Obama’s EPA plows ahead with regulations that will duplicate the worst outcomes—skyrocketing electric prices together with unpredictable interruptions in supply.”

One example where China, the leading offender when it comes to coal, today and into the future, will not be following Obama's example when it comes to wind power replacing fossil fuel power. Which means those coal miners throughout the U.S. made their sacrifices for nothing, at least in this case.

4) Let’s finish up today’s and this month’s review of the global warming fallacy with the following cartoon that reviews the actual, and eventually false, predictions on climate change over the past several decades:


Now you may see why people like myself are a little skeptical when people like Al Gore go hog wild on climate predictions that are proven wrong everyday, they have been wrong for decades. 

So today we provided more evidence that the science is not settled, that Americans across the country are getting screwed from a financial perspective for actions that the Obama administration is taking that will have no positive societal benefit at all, and the climate predictions have always been wrong. More reasons next month on why it is perfectly sane to be a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.


Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:


www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:

Term Limits Now: http://www.howmuchworsecoulditget.com
http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w


Tuesday, January 26, 2016

January, 2016, Part 1, I Am A Global Warming Doubter And A Believer In Science: More Climate Forecasts Fails, A Warm Christmas In 1955, and More

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in manmade global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of manmade global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:
  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control on our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical post listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims:

1) According to Phillip Hodges, writing for the Last Resistance website on December 25, 2015, Christmas Eve, 1955, long before global warming was supposed to have been underway, was warmer than Christmas Eve 2015. I would bet that he did this research and wrote the article since this has been an unusually warm winter across much of the country, which in all likelihood was due to the El Nino weather pattern that set up in the Pacific Ocean. 

He probably wanted to preemptively react to global warming believers that will claim one warm winter spell verifies global warming as a reality. The fact that the past two winters have been uncommonly cold throughout most of the country would be two data points that many global warming advocates would ignore

Mr. Hodges cites a quote from Steven Goddard who operates the Real Science blog: “Christmas Eve 1955 was much warmer. Three fourths of the country was over 60 degrees, and Ashland Kansas, Geary Oklahoma and Encinal Texas were all over 90 degrees. Fort Lauderdale was 85 degrees. All of the stations below were over 60 degrees on Christmas Eve, 1955.”

By “stations,” he means most metro areas in a map that is included in Mr. Hodges article that shows all of the metro areas in the U.S. that were above 60 degrees on Christmas Eve, 1955. His map and full article can be seen at:

http://lastresistance.com/15416/flashback-christmas-eve-1955-was-way-warmer-than-today/#9LLdfmMd5tWHBghX.99

http://cdn1.lastresistance.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/map-temperatures-1024x605.png

His map shows that metro areas as far north as Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, South Dakota, and others were all quite warm (warmer than 60 degress) on that day in 1955.

Apparently, Goddard also has a sense of humor and knowledge of old time movies. He describes how in the movie “White Christmas,” which was released shortly after the end of World War II, the characters lament that it is 70 degrees in New Hampshire in the middle of the winter and that Bing Crosby has to pine for snow in the movie via his singing of the song, “White Christmas.” The late 1940s and 1950s were not supposed to be times of global warming but it did get warm in the winter sometimes.

Bottom line is that one warm winter does not prove global warming is a reality much like two very, very cold winters does not disprove it is a reality. It is just that global warming doubters have a justified opinion by doubting the global warming hype, given Christmas Eve, 1955 and an old Hollywood movie from the 1940s. Can we now have a balanced discussion on the topic?

2) One of the fear mongering approaches that global warming advocates take is that it does not matter if global warming is a reality, our use of oil will deplete the world’s oil supplies pretty soon. Thus, it makes sense to start curtailing the use of fossil fuels such as oil and switch to cleaner fuels since oil will not be around much longer, the "experts" have predicted its demise. Who cares if electric and gasoline rates will go up, that economic growth will be stunted, job creation will be muted, the oil will be gone anyway.

Sounds logical, especially if “experts” have forecasted the demise and end of oil availability. But could the experts be wrong? Could long range predictions be wrong by “experts?” We have shown many time in this blog how the forecasting methods used to predict the warming of the earth have been grossly wrong for decades. Could these oil demise forecasts be as wrong?

Stephen Hall, writing for the Townhall website on December 29, 2015, actually looked into this question and found that the oil forecasters in the past have been just as wrong as the global warming forecasters of the past:
  • The United States Department of Energy's National Energy Technology Laboratory predicted in a past report that "the world is fast approaching the inevitable "peaking" of global oil production. 
  • Paul Krugman, writing in The New York Times in 2010, boldly stated that "world commodity prices ... are telling us that we're living in a finite world."
  • About a century ago, the U.S. Bureau of Mines forecasted total future production of oil at 6 billion barrels but since then the country has produced 20 times that amount. 
  • In 1939 the Department of the Interior predicted U.S. oil supplies would last just 13 more years. 
  • In 1980, hundreds of the top scientists in the United States issued a report called The Global 2000 Report to the President. These “experts” confidently predicted life would be far worse in just twenty years because the world would run out of oil, gas, food, and farmland.
In the face of these bold, and insanely wrong predictions, the world today is awash in excess oil. Gas prices continue to plummet to reflect this glut. And the current glut does not include the increased amount of Iranian oil that will start flowing into the market now that sanctions have been lifted and Iraqi oil fields that are under duress due to the ISIS factor. Simple economics: a glut of supply means a drop in prices, the exact things we see going today in the market.

But it is not just bad forecasts from long ago that are so funny. Consider how wrong our current President has been just in the past few years when it comes to predicting oil supplies:
  • Obama, 2008 speech in Lansing, Michigan: "We cannot sustain a future powered by a fuel that is rapidly disappearing."
  • Obama, 2010: "We're running out of places to drill." And then in his typically childish manner want on to sarcastically jeer that the oil and gas industry might want to start drilling for oil near the Washington Monument.
  • Obama, 2011: Oil and gas are “yesterday’s” energy sources.
  • Obama, Georgetown University: "The United States of America cannot afford to bet our long-term prosperity, our long-term security on a resource (oil) that will eventually run out."
According to research done by the Institute for Energy Research:
  • Twice as many oil reserves have been identified than what were thought to exist in 1950.
  • Humanity has produced almost ten times more oil than what the government thought existed back in 1950.
Technology has unlocked so much oil resources than could have ever been imagined as recently as a few years ago, if you believe Obama’s doomsday statements.

The bottom line is that please do not come at us global warming doubters with forecasts by “experts.” Experts have been so wrong in so many different areas in long term forecasts that the vast majority of those forecasts are laughable when looked back on. To think that global warming “experts” are any better at this game is fool’s gold. In fact, we have already shown multiple times in this blog that their forecasts over the years have been just as wrong as the forecasts listed above.

As we stated above in the first point of today’s discussion, can we now have a balanced discussion on the topic of global warming AND include the reality that all global warming forecasts have been wrong even though they were done by the “experts?” Can we stop with the name calling and condescending attitudes of the believers and get down to an adult conversation, looking at ALL of the data and information available?

3) Although you would not know it if you listen to Al Gore and Barack Obama, given their insistence that the “science is settled” and that “97% of scientists believe that manmade global warming is real,” there are many scientists that disagree with the Al Gore types. Dr. John Christy, director of the University of Alabama’s Earth System Science Center, has compiled new data and research that show the earth has warmed by just three quarters of a Fahrenheit degree in the past 37 years. This is considerably lower than what global warming advocates claim has happened and is happening.

Dr. Christy explained the implications of his findings to the Watts Up With That, a blog run by certified meteorologist Anthony Watts: “That would put the average global temperature change over 100 years well under the 2.0 C (3.6 degrees F) goal set recently at the climate change summit in Paris.”

So which scientists are right, Al Gore scientists or scientists like Dr. Christy? Most people on both sides of the debate probably know very, very little about credibility of either side’s scientists. Maybe now we can now have a balanced discussion on the topic, given that each side has their own set of scientists and that nowhere close to 97% of scientists are on one side.

That will do it for today. More evidence that being a global warming doubter is a sane, logical, and rational position to hold, given that past global warming forecasts by so-called "experts" have been grossly wrong, warm winter weather has been going on for decades before global warming became fashionable, and there are scientists that are global warming doubters also.


Our book, "Love My Country, Loathe My Government - Fifty First Steps To Restoring Our Freedom And Destroying The American Political Class" is now available at:

www.loathemygovernment.com

It is also available online at Amazon and Barnes and Noble. Please pass our message of freedom onward. Let your friends and family know about our websites and blogs, ask your library to carry the book, and respect freedom for both yourselves and others everyday.

Please visit the following sites for freedom:

Term Limits Now: http://www.howmuchworsecoulditget.com
http://www.reason.com
http://www.cato.org
http://www.bankruptingamerica.org

http://www.conventionofstates.com
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=08j0sYUOb5w