Wednesday, January 27, 2016

January, 2016, Part 2, I Am A Global Warming Doubter and A Believer In Science: John Kerry Leaves the Dark Side, 2,400 New Coal Plants, and More

Every month we have enough material to return to a continuing theme in this blog, namely that “I am a global warming doubter AND a believer in science.” This became of interest because of people like Al Gore who fanatically and verbosely claimed that you had to be an idiot to not believe in man made global warming. It has been my life belief that anyone that is that loud and that obnoxious is hiding something, that rather than argue facts and reality it is better to beat down and insult anyone who disagrees.

As we have dove into the whole issue of man made global warming, or its new rebranded title of climate change, we found that Al Gore and people like him were guilty of a number of things:

  • Ignoring science and realities that did not support their opinions and positions.
  • Rather than have an adult conversation about climate, these types of advocates like Gore sank to the level of insulting those who dared look at ALL science by calling them a variety of names including racists, homophobes, terrorists, flat earth believers, and other slanderous names.
  • Continuing to insist that politicians step up their intrusions into our lives with higher taxes, more regulations, and more control on our freedoms and standards of living based on a shaky theory at best.
To see the past posts and the multitude of evidence that we have compiled that showed it is perfectly okay to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, enter the phrase "global warming doubter” in the search box above or go through the monthly historical post listed on the right side of this page.

Thus, let’s see the latest facts and science that prove you can be a global warming doubter and a believer in science, regardless of what Al Gore proclaims:

1) Global warming doubters like myself continually point to fallacies and oversights in the arguments put forth by global warming advocates:

  • No long term, and many short term, global warming forecasts over the decades have been nowhere close to being accurate.
  • Any measures that the U.S. takes, such as the proposal by Obama to kill the domestic coal energy as much as possible or to block the building of the critical Keystone pipeline, will have barely any impact on the overall environment and global warming.
  • Unless the rest of the world stops building the thousands of coal burning plants that they are expected to build in the coming years, anything the U.S. does will have no measurable impact on the climate in the face of exponentially growing use of coal around the world.
So we take a little satisfaction when one of the insiders of the global warming advocate clan actually comes clean to tell us what we already knew: whatever the U.S. does in the energy sector will have little or no impact on the climate but will only increase energy costs in this country, hurt poorer Americans to a much greater degree than wealthier Americans, and will stunt economic growth and job creation.

Who is this insider? It is none other than current Secretary of State John Kerry who long has been on the bandwagon that global warming causes every nasty thing in the world including terrorism. Nicolas Loris, writing for the Heritage Foundation on December 11, 2015, quoted the Secretary of State in his article that day: “The fact is that even if every American citizen biked to work, carpooled to school, used only solar panels to power their homes, if we each planted a dozen trees, if we somehow eliminated all of our domestic greenhouse gas emissions, guess what – that still wouldn’t be enough to offset the carbon pollution coming from the rest of the world.

If all the industrial nations went down to zero emissions – remember what I just said, all the industrial emissions went down to zero emissions – it wouldn’t be enough, not when more than 65 percent of the world’s carbon pollution comes from the developing world.”

Say what? If the United States magically disappeared from the earth it would have no impact on the carbon being pumped into the air because countries like China, India, and other developing countries would overwhelm the decrease in carbon output incurred from the U.S. vanishing? So why the hell are Obama and Kerry going around the world condemning our use of fossil based energy sources and calling for the U.S. to make unilateral changes in how we get our energy when it will not make any difference in the world from a climate change perspective?

Sometime Washington and the people that live and work there make no sense. We should do something that hurts our families, our economy, and our kids’ futures even though it will make no difference, or in Kerry’s words “it wouldn’t be enough.” Maybe we should be looking at this from another perspective since man made climate change/global warming might not even be an issue in the first place and according to Kerry, anything we do will be meaningless. Down the rabbit hole again of political class insanity.

2) If two real scientists are to be believed, Kerry is actually right. In that same Heritage article, Mr. Norris cites the work of Paul Knappenberger and Patrick Michaels whose research estimates that the severe energy regulations that Obama wants to impose on the American energy industry will avert a meager 0.018 degree Celsius of warming in the next 85 years. That’s right, a micro 0.018 improvement at the expense of trillions of dollars in increased energy costs and the loss of millions of jobs over that same time period.

And why will what the U.S. do not make any difference? According to Climate Action Tracker, in the next 15 years the world is expected to build and move into operation 2.400 new coal fired power plants. These 2,400 coal plants include those that have already been announced, are in the pre-permit stage, or which are already under construction. Coal is the easiest and fastest way for these countries to grow their economies and keep domestic unrest at bay. They could care less what Barack Obama and Al Gore have to say.

To hear Kerry actually speak these comments, go to:

3) Katie Tubb on December 4, 2015, also writing for the Heritage Foundation, exposed five facts/myths that global warming advocates probably do not want the world to hear. The basis of her writing was the recently concluded United Nations international conference on global warming that was held in Paris in late 2015. There global warming alarmists such as Obama played nice and tried to convince themselves, and the world, that man made climate change/global warming was a reality and to make plans to combat what very well might be a non-issue.

Highlights of her article include the following facts:

- President Obama spoke at the conference and left us with this gem of a quote: “There is such a thing as being too late. And when it comes to climate change, that hour is almost upon us.” But “that hour” has been with us for decades, according to various global warming advocates and given that the earth has not really warmed in almost two decades, that is one long hour.

- The stated objective of the conference in Paris was “to keep global warming below 2 degrees Celsius,” a number that has been a mantra of the global warming crowd for years. But where did that number come from? 

Apparently, it was basically pulled out of thin air, at least according to Wall Street Journal and other news outlets, other scientists, and Dr. Mark Maslin, professor of climatology at the University of College London: “It [the 2 degrees number] emerged from a political agenda, not a scientific analysis. It’s not a sensible, rational target because the models give you a range of possibilities, not a single answer.” In other words, there is really no scientific basis of consensus on the 2 degrees target, it is a false target.

- A major objective of the Paris conference was to start putting together the so-called Green Climate Fund that would collect a whopping $100 billion a year by 2020 to subsidize green energy initiatives and for “climate adaption and mitigation programs” in developing nations. But two problems with the program and its funding:

  • First, only $10.2 billion has been pledged so far, with Obama pledging $3 billion in American taxpayer money, again for an issue that may or may not be real.
  • And second, much like the 2 degrees target number we just discussed, World Bank Group vice president and special envoy for climate change Rachel Kyte said that “the $100 billion was picked out of the air at Copenhagen.” “Picked out of the air,” real scientific.
- A recent analysis by Professor Judith Curry of Georgia Tech, which compared five different data sets of actual global temperatures, found that all but one of the data sets showed that global warming has truly been on sabbatical for almost two decades, a reality that none of the global warming modes correctly predicted over time. And even if that one outlier out of five data sets is right, we still have no idea how much of any warming that did occur was due to man made activities or it was just part of a natural cycle of climate. 

- Ms. Tubb also revisits the reality we discussed above where she reports that over 2,400 new coal plants are likely to come on line in the coming years in developing countries: “A December report by four climate institutes found that far from decreasing in number, over 2,000 coal power plants are planned around the world in developing and industrialized nations. And for good reason—coal remains an efficient, affordable, and reliable resource to generate electricity.”

- And last but not least is the reality that Obama’s proposed EPA regulations that would curtail the use of coal in generating electricity in this country, while at the same time raise the cost of electricity substantially for consumers, will have virtually no effect on the climate and the temperature around the world. 

How do we know this? Because models created by his own EPA predict that the climate impact of his plans will have less than a .02 degrees Celsius in warming avoided of the next 85 years. .02 degrees, 85 years, are you kidding me?

And this is not some Republican or right-leaning think tank coming up with these numbers. This is Obama’s own EPA people putting these forecasts out. High cost, no climate benefit, economically disastrous and he still wants to go forward. Insanity.

So what did we learn today:

  1. Anything the U.S.does to mitigate the impact on the climate, assuming there is anything we are doing now that actually does impact the climate, will be overwhelmed by the growth in other nations' economies and the need for more and more power around the world.
  2. The rest of the world will be building over 2,400 coal fired power plants in the coming years while Obama is trying to shut down a handful of our plants, an impact that will be overwhelmed by more coal burning around the world and what will depress and suppress the U.S. economy and job creation.
  3. Global warming advocates are real good at making up numbers that have no basis in reality or science, e.g. the 2 degree Celsius target.
  4. Even John Kerry, long time global warming advocate, sees the folly in having the U.S. stop using coal relative to the growth in coal and other fossil fuel usage around the world.
Another good day to be a global warming doubter and a believer in science. More folly and other forms of global warming insanity tomorrow.

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